Bitcoin

The bitcoin price has soared above $65,000. This surge comes after BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, got the green light for a new bitcoin initiative. At the same time, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell issued a “radical” statement that has traders buzzing. Many are now betting that bitcoin could reach $100,000 following the U.S. presidential election.

Bitcoin options interest is growing, especially around the $100,000 mark. Geoffrey Kendrick, head of crypto research at Standard Chartered, noticed this trend. “Notably, the build-up has come faster than can be explained just by higher bitcoin prices,” he said. “The jump in open interest at the $100,000 strike this week indicates something else is driving participants.” Traders are optimistic that the bitcoin price could surge to $100,000 after the election.

U.S. Vice President and 2024 Democratic Party nominee Kamala Harris has promised to encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets. At a Wall Street fundraiser reported by Bloomberg, she said that if she wins the White House in November, she would support crypto businesses while protecting consumers and investors. This suggests that a Harris victory could be positive for bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.

Kendrick believes that either outcome of the November 5 election will benefit bitcoin. “These comments suggest that regardless of who wins, bitcoin will benefit,” he wrote. The bitcoin and crypto market has been leading in performance recently, especially after the Federal Reserve’s historic interest rate cut last week. This has increased positive sentiment among investors.

If former U.S. President Donald Trump wins the election, Kendrick predicts the bitcoin price could surge to $125,000. Even if Harris wins, he expects bitcoin to climb to $75,000. Trump has embraced bitcoin and crypto this year, promising to create a U.S. bitcoin strategic reserve if elected. He is also backing a crypto project led by his sons, Don Jr. and Eric.

Trump’s commitment to create a U.S. bitcoin strategic reserve has excited many in the crypto community. His sons are leading a crypto project that has gained significant attention. This shows a strong commitment to advancing digital assets in the United States. A Trump victory could lead to major developments in the cryptocurrency market.

Kendrick wrote earlier this month that a Harris victory might cause an initial price drop. “A Harris victory would likely trigger an initial price decline,” he said. “But we would expect dips to be bought as the market recognizes that progress on the regulatory front will still be forthcoming, and as other positive drivers take hold.” Investors may see any price dips as buying opportunities.

American investors are regaining their appetite for risk. New exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offering leveraged positions on MicroStrategy stock are booming. MSTX, launched in August, now has $357.6 million in assets under management. This fund gives investors daily leveraged investment results of 1.75 times the daily percentage change in MicroStrategy stock.

Another ETF, MSTU, launched last week. It offers two times the leveraged investment results. The product has seen huge inflows and now has over $80 million in assets. These ETFs are “long leverage” funds, meaning they use debt to amplify their positions. This can lead to greater returns, but also greater losses. Investors are showing significant interest in these risky investments.

Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas commented on the popularity of these leveraged ETFs. He was surprised by the rapid growth. “I didn’t think there was room for both (especially so quickly),” he wrote on Twitter, describing their popularity as “wild.” He previously called such products the “ghost pepper of ETF hot sauce” due to their extreme volatility.

MicroStrategy is a public company known for its data-analyzing software. In 2020, it started putting bitcoin on its balance sheet to generate returns for investors. This strategy has attracted attention and led to the creation of leveraged ETFs focused on its stock. The company’s embrace of bitcoin has made it a focal point for investors interested in cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin options trading is showing a rapid build-up at the $100,000 strike price. This indicates that traders are betting on a significant price surge. The interest in options around this price suggests strong market confidence. Bitcoin options interest “has been building mostly around the round figure of $100,000,” Kendrick noted.

The Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cut has impacted the bitcoin price rally. The crypto market has been leading in terms of performance following the Fed’s historic decision. Jerome Powell’s “radical” statements have also played a role in boosting investor confidence. These factors contribute to the positive outlook for bitcoin.

Kamala Harris’s support for innovative technologies like AI and digital assets has been well-received. Her comments suggest that if she becomes president, there could be favorable regulations and growth opportunities for digital assets. “These comments suggest either outcome on 5 November will end up being bitcoin positive,” Kendrick wrote.

As the U.S. presidential election approaches, traders are optimistic about bitcoin’s future. Whether Trump wins and pushes for a bitcoin strategic reserve or Harris wins and encourages crypto businesses, bitcoin seems poised for growth. With traders betting on a $100,000 price target and investors embracing leveraged ETFs, the crypto market is entering an exciting phase. The impact of the election, Federal Reserve policies, and growing investor interest all point to a potentially significant surge in the bitcoin price.

Bolivia has seen a big jump in virtual asset trading since lifting its Bitcoin ban. The central bank’s decision to allow cryptocurrencies has changed the market quickly. In just three months, from July to September, the country reported a 100% increase in average monthly virtual asset trading compared to the previous 18 months. This surge happened right after the central bank lifted a 42-month ban on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency payments, letting financial institutions conduct transactions with digital assets.

This change allowed about $15.6 million in virtual assets to be traded monthly in Bolivia during that period. This amount was 105% higher than what was traded before the ban was lifted. Altogether, the last three months saw about $48.6 million in virtual asset transactions. That’s more than what was traded in the entire six months before the ban was lifted. A lot of these transactions were made with stablecoins, showing their growing popularity in Bolivia’s financial market.

The central bank, known as Banco Central de Bolivia (BCB), explained that the rise in virtual asset trading directly resulted from ending the ban on Bitcoin and cryptocurrency payments. They banned Bitcoin completely in 2014 but decided to change their stance in June. The acting president of the BCB, Edwin Rojas Ulo, said, “BCB is paving the way for the use of cryptoassets in Bolivia. Our country is taking giant steps towards an economic future with greater use of accessible digital instruments.” This statement shows that Bolivia is trying to create a more open and modern financial market by allowing cryptocurrencies.

One major sign of how popular cryptocurrencies have become is the increase in the number of cryptocurrency transactions. Over the past three months, the number of transactions jumped by 141% compared to the previous six months. This rise is partly because six more financial institutions started offering virtual asset services between July and August. These financial institutions allowed banks to handle cryptocurrencies through approved electronic channels, making it easier for people and businesses to use digital assets in Bolivia.

Edwin Rojas Ulo explained that this change provides Bolivians with more options for processing transfers and payments, especially for international commerce. He believes that integrating virtual assets into the financial system will help Bolivian companies take part in international trade more effectively. The use of virtual assets offers an alternative mechanism for processing transfers, whether for personal transactions, business payments, or international trade.

Since the ban was lifted, Bolivia’s central bank has also made efforts to educate people about virtual assets and how to use them. They have included information about cryptocurrencies in their Economic and Financial Education Program. In total, the central bank has conducted 33 workshops across the country, reaching more than 3,000 people. This education initiative aims to help Bolivians understand the potential of digital assets and how they can use them safely and effectively in their daily lives.

The rise in cryptocurrency trading has brought more attention to Bolivia’s financial market, showing that digital assets can be a part of the country’s economy. The central bank’s efforts to include virtual assets in its financial education programs demonstrate Bolivia’s commitment to making digital assets more accessible. It also reflects the country’s goal to develop an economic future that includes modern financial tools like Bitcoin and stablecoins.

The story of Bolivia’s growing cryptocurrency market is happening at the same time as important changes in the global economy. For example, China recently announced a big stimulus package, which included lower interest rates and lower reserve requirements for banks. This move has had a big impact on global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market. The package led to a sharp rise in China’s stock market, with the blue-chip index CSI 300 going up by 15.7% and the Hang Seng index rising by about 13%. These changes in China have also influenced the global crypto market, helping to drive interest in Bitcoin and other digital assets.

As a result of these international changes, the inflow into spot Bitcoin ETFs has been positive all week, with a net inflow of $612.1 million so far, according to Farside. This trend has helped Bitcoin continue its upward trend, with a 55.1% increase so far this year, while Ethereum has grown by 16.4%. Analysts believe that both Bitcoin and Ethereum will keep rising, especially now that both major U.S. presidential candidates support blockchain technology.

In Bolivia, the focus is on how cryptocurrency can be used to improve the country’s economic situation. By lifting the Bitcoin ban, the central bank has made it easier for people to use digital assets. This move has also made it possible for more financial institutions to offer virtual asset services, helping to build a more inclusive financial system.

Bolivia’s decision to allow cryptocurrency trading reflects a larger trend of countries recognizing the importance of virtual assets. As more people start to understand and use digital assets, there will likely be even more growth in Bolivia’s cryptocurrency market. The country’s experience shows that lifting restrictions on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can lead to significant changes in how people handle money and investments.

Bolivia’s inflation rate has remained relatively low compared to other Latin American countries, with a rate of 2.58% in 2023. At the same time, the Bolivia boliviano has lost only 2.4% of its purchasing power against the U.S. dollar over the past five years. These stable economic conditions make Bolivia an interesting case for how virtual assets can fit into a country’s economy.

Bolivia’s move to lift the Bitcoin ban has not only increased trading but also opened up new opportunities for international commerce. By allowing financial institutions to offer virtual asset services, the country is positioning itself to take advantage of global trends in cryptocurrency adoption. This is expected to help Bolivian companies participate more actively in international trade, giving them more tools to compete in the global market.

The central bank’s focus on education also plays a big role in ensuring that the public understands how to use virtual assets safely. As more people learn about cryptocurrencies, it will be easier for them to adopt these digital tools in their everyday lives. This can help Bolivia develop a more modern financial system that benefits everyone.

Bolivia’s decision to lift the Bitcoin ban has led to a massive rise in virtual asset trading and increased the number of cryptocurrency transactions. The country’s central bank has taken steps to educate the public about digital assets, helping to create a more informed population ready to participate in the growing world of virtual assets. As Bolivia continues to embrace cryptocurrencies, it could become a leading example of how digital assets can be integrated into an economy, offering new opportunities for both individuals and businesses.

Bitcoin has once again made headlines by breaking the $65,000 level as the United States economy shows strong growth. The digital currency’s price surge is closely tied to the latest economic data, which reveals that the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 3% this quarter. This growth is a significant increase from the previous quarter’s 1.6%, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The news has sparked excitement among investors, leading to a Bitcoin price surge that reflects the bullish sentiment in the market.

The US GDP growth at 3% is a clear indicator that the economy is recovering from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Increased consumer spending and business investments have contributed to this growth. As the economy strengthens, investors are looking for assets that can offer high returns. Bitcoin, often seen as a hedge against inflation and a risk-on asset, has become an attractive option. The cryptocurrency’s value surged following the 3% US GDP growth report, showcasing how economic indicators can influence Bitcoin prices.

Improvements in the US job market have also played a significant role in Bitcoin’s price surge. The US Department of Labor reported a decrease in initial jobless claims, which fell by 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ending September 21. This reduction in initial jobless claims suggests that labor market conditions are improving. The four-week moving average of weekly jobless claims also fell by 3,500 to 224,750. These figures indicate a positive trend in the job market, which correlates with increases in Bitcoin prices.

The combination of strong GDP growth and job market improvements has created a positive US economic outlook. This outlook boosts bullish sentiment on Bitcoin, leading to significant price increases. Bitcoin hit a monthly high after US GDP growth rose to 3%, edging close to $65,500 and marking a 3% increase in the last 24 hours, according to TradingView statistics. The cryptocurrency has gained over 1,000 points since the GDP numbers were released, demonstrating the strong link between economic performance and cryptocurrency markets.

Investors are optimistic about the future, and this bullish market sentiment is influencing Bitcoin prices. With the US economy on solid footing, many are turning to Bitcoin as a promising investment. The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization has increased, reflecting the influx of new investors and capital. Over 90% of BTC holders are currently in profit, according to recent data. This high level of profitability is attracting more attention to Bitcoin but also raises concerns about potential market corrections.

Monetary policy adjustments in both the United States and China have had a significant impact on global markets and Bitcoin’s price. In the US, the Federal Reserve (Fed) made a surprising move by cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. This decision, the first of its kind since the COVID-19 pandemic began, has lowered borrowing costs and encouraged investment in risk-on assets like Bitcoin.

The Fed’s interest rate cut of 50 basis points was larger than the previously expected 25 basis point reduction. Traders anticipate another cut at the Fed’s next meeting on November 7, with current betting favoring another 50 basis point reduction, according to the CME FedWatch Tool predictions. The anticipation of further interest rate reductions has fueled expectations of relaxed global monetary policies, contributing to Bitcoin surging past $64,000 earlier this week. These monetary policy adjustments have significant implications for the economy and financial markets.

Meanwhile, in China, authorities are considering injecting 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) into major state banks to stimulate lending and economic growth. This potential move would be China’s largest capital injection since 2008. The funding, sourced from new sovereign bonds, aims to counteract slowing economic performance and boost liquidity. Such stimulus measures in China have a global impact, influencing investor behavior and market dynamics. Increased liquidity and reduced borrowing costs could benefit risk-on assets like Bitcoin, as investors seek higher returns.

As Bitcoin’s price surges past $65,000, over 90% of BTC holders are now in profit. This level of profitability is significant, but it could also pose a risk for the cryptocurrency. When a high percentage of investors are in profit, there is a possibility of increased selling as they realize gains. This profit realization by investors can lead to potential price corrections, affecting the overall market capitalization of Bitcoin.

Historically, when the proportion of profitable Bitcoin holders reaches such high levels, the market has experienced corrections. For example, in July, when over 90% of holders were in profit, Bitcoin’s price later crashed as many investors sold their holdings. This pattern suggests that while current profits are encouraging, they could also lead to increased volatility in the Bitcoin market. Investors should be cautious and consider the risks of potential price corrections due to profit-taking.

The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price has renewed investor interest in Bitcoin Spot ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds). Spot ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without directly holding the cryptocurrency. The potential approval of Bitcoin Spot ETFs by regulators has been a topic of discussion, as it could make investing in Bitcoin more accessible to a broader audience. This renewed interest could further drive demand for Bitcoin and impact its price.

Global markets have been reacting to the monetary policy adjustments in the US and China. China’s Shanghai Composite Index jumped another 3.6% and is on track for its best week in a decade. European shares rose about 1%, and US stocks are also in the green, though they are off their best levels hit earlier. These movements highlight how interconnected global economies are and how policy decisions can have widespread effects. Investors are closely watching these developments, as they can influence asset prices, including cryptocurrencies and traditional markets.

The news also moved prices for precious metals, with gold rising to a record high above $2,700 per ounce and silver hitting its strongest level in 12 years. This precious metals rally reflects increased demand amid global market shifts. Investors often turn to gold and silver as safe-haven assets during times of economic uncertainty or significant monetary policy changes. The rally in precious metals indicates that investors are seeking to diversify their portfolios to manage risk.

While Bitcoin continues to dominate the headlines, other cryptocurrencies have also seen significant movements. Cardano (ADA), Avalanche (AVAX), and NEAR Protocol (NEAR) have all outperformed Bitcoin’s advance in the recent market surge. On the other hand, Ethereum (ETH) has modestly underperformed compared to Bitcoin. The broader crypto market was higher by 1.6% over the same time frame. These variations highlight the diverse performance within the cryptocurrency market.

Market participants are closely watching the CME FedWatch Tool predictions, which indicate traders anticipate another Fed rate cut at the November meeting. The tool suggests a high probability of another 50 basis point reduction in interest rates. These predictions influence investor expectations and can impact asset prices, including Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin breaking the $65,000 level as the US economy grows 3% highlights the strong connection between economic indicators and cryptocurrency markets. Improvements in the US job market, bullish market sentiment, and monetary policy adjustments in the US and China have all contributed to Bitcoin’s price surge. While over 90% of BTC holders are in profit, caution is advised due to the potential for price corrections from profit-taking. The renewed interest in Bitcoin Spot ETFs and the rally in precious metals like gold and silver underscore the dynamic and interconnected nature of global financial markets. Investors should stay informed about economic indicators, monetary policies, and market trends to make well-informed decisions.

Bitcoin’s Rally After China’s Stimulus Package

Bitcoin experienced a significant rally following announcements of the stimulus package by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). Many analysts believe this is just the beginning, with predictions of a possible breakout toward $78,000 in the coming weeks. This article explores how China’s latest economic stimulus and central bank actions impact Bitcoin and why this could lead to even more growth in the cryptocurrency market.

China’s Stimulus Package and Bitcoin

On September 24, the People’s Bank of China announced a plan to inject around $140 billion into its financial system by cutting the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 basis points. This is part of China’s efforts to boost its struggling economy and real estate market. These measures also include lowering borrowing costs and easing property purchase rules to support the real estate sector.

As central banks worldwide pay close attention to China’s actions, Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at investment management firm Real Vision, claims that China’s latest stimulus package is a big deal for Bitcoin. He predicts it could even influence other central banks to follow the same path, which could be a game-changer for Bitcoin prices.

Coutts stated, “The bottom is in for global central bank liquidity for this cycle. Sit back and watch the other central banks fall into line.” In simpler terms, he means that central banks around the world might start injecting more money into their economies, just like the PBOC.

Bitcoin’s Past Response to China’s Economic Stimulus

It’s not the first time Bitcoin has reacted positively to China’s economic stimulus measures. For example, the PBOC injected $367.7 billion through reverse repos in October 2023 and another $140 billion in January 2024 by reducing the RRR by 50 basis points. After these actions, Bitcoin’s price soared by more than 100%, showing a clear relationship between Chinese stimulus and Bitcoin’s growth.

Even though China banned crypto mining back in 2021, the connection between Bitcoin and Chinese liquidity remains strong. This shows how the cryptocurrency’s performance is still tied to global liquidity conditions, and China’s recent measures could push investors to take on more risk by investing in assets like Bitcoin.

Why Central Bank Liquidity Matters for Bitcoin

Bitcoin operates in a credit-based fiat fractional reserve system, where debasement, or the reduction of currency value, is seen as a natural part of the process. When central banks, like the PBOC, inject more money into the economy, it often means that the value of fiat money drops. As a result, investors look for alternatives, such as Bitcoin, to protect their wealth.

This trend is why analysts believe central bank liquidity boosts Bitcoin demand. When more money is available in the financial system, people tend to invest in risk assets like Bitcoin, expecting higher returns. Therefore, China’s latest stimulus package could spark more investment in Bitcoin, as other central banks may start following China’s example.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin’s Bull Flag Pattern

Adding to the excitement is the technical analysis of Bitcoin’s price movements. Currently, Bitcoin’s price chart shows a “bull flag” pattern. This pattern happens when an asset’s price moves upward sharply, then consolidates in a descending channel. In simpler terms, Bitcoin has been moving sideways after a big rally, and now it looks ready for another breakout.

If Bitcoin manages to break above this pattern’s upper trendline, analysts predict it could hit $78,000, a potential new record high. However, if it fails to break out, Bitcoin’s price might fall back down to its lower trendline, around the 0.0 Fibonacci retracement level. This retracement pattern is often used to predict potential price levels based on past movements, giving traders more insight into possible outcomes.

How Inflation and Central Bank Policies Affect Bitcoin’s Growth

For Bitcoin to reach its new all-time high, it may need to rise above $80,000 when adjusted for inflation. Inflation is another key factor driving Bitcoin’s growth, as traditional fiat currencies lose value over time. The more central banks inject liquidity into the system, the higher inflation rises, making Bitcoin a more attractive investment for those looking to safeguard their wealth.

As inflation pressures increase globally, investors are shifting their focus to assets like Bitcoin, which has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. This scarcity makes it less likely to lose value over time, unlike fiat currencies that can be printed endlessly.

Bitcoin Whales Are Waking Up

Recently, several long-dormant Bitcoin whales, who mined Bitcoin in its early years, have become active again. One such whale, who mined during the Bitcoin network’s earliest months, moved 10 BTC (worth $630,000) to the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken. This miner holds about $77 million worth of BTC mined during Bitcoin’s first months, which means their actions could significantly impact the market.

According to analysts at Arkham Intelligence, this isn’t the first time a Satoshi-era Bitcoin miner has “woken up” recently. Another miner, who held at least $16 million worth of Bitcoin since 2009, also transferred their coins to a different address. These activities raise questions about whether these early miners plan to sell their Bitcoin holdings, which could impact the market.

Why Are Bitcoin Whales Selling Now?

Bitcoin whales, especially those who have held their assets for many years, often sell their coins when they believe the price has reached a profitable level. As Bitcoin’s value increases, long-term holders might feel more incentivized to cash in on their investments. This behavior is common and usually happens when Bitcoin shows signs of an upcoming rally or after a significant price surge.

Analysts have noted that Bitcoin transfers to centralized exchanges like Kraken often indicate an intention to sell. While it’s unclear why these whales are moving their funds, their actions add an element of uncertainty to the market, especially when Bitcoin’s price is showing signs of a potential breakout.

China’s Impact on Bitcoin Mining and Liquidity

Although China banned crypto mining in 2021, the country’s influence on Bitcoin is still significant. Its economic policies, like stimulus packages and liquidity injections, continue to affect Bitcoin prices. For example, China’s recent stimulus has pushed up Bitcoin’s value, proving that global liquidity trends play a big role in cryptocurrency markets.

The PBOC’s moves, including lowering the reserve requirement ratio and providing more liquidity, create a ripple effect across financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. As China pumps more money into its economy, investors are likely to seek assets that offer higher returns, like Bitcoin.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

With China’s stimulus measures and the potential influence on other central banks, Bitcoin could be headed toward a significant breakout. Analysts believe that the bull flag pattern is a strong indicator of this upward trend, with predictions pointing to $78,000 or more. However, the recent activity of early Bitcoin whales adds an element of uncertainty that could either propel Bitcoin’s price higher or lead to short-term selling pressure.

As central bank liquidity increases globally, and inflation continues to rise, Bitcoin stands out as a valuable asset for investors looking to protect their wealth. While the relationship between Bitcoin and China may not be as direct as before, the PBOC’s actions still have a strong influence on the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin’s rally after China’s latest stimulus package suggests that we could be in for an exciting period ahead. Whether this will lead to a new all-time high or just another chapter in Bitcoin’s journey remains to be seen. One thing is clear: Bitcoin’s connection to global liquidity conditions makes it a critical asset to watch as central banks continue to shape the economic landscape.

Bitcoin’s Strongest September in History

Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to have its most bullish September since it was created. Despite usually seeing red in this month, the cryptocurrency is showing signs of breaking that trend this year. With only seven days left in September, experts believe that Bitcoin could soon reach a new all-time high (ATH).

Bitcoin Mimics Past Moves, Signaling a Bullish Trend

Crypto analyst Jelle shared on social media that Bitcoin is moving very similarly to last year. These higher lows are a sign that Bitcoin may be headed toward a key level that could push its price to new heights. Just like in September 2023, Bitcoin is climbing toward this crucial point.

Currently, Bitcoin is trading above its support zones, with the first higher low at $52,000 and the second higher low at $54,000. These levels acted as strong bounce points, pushing the price toward the resistance level of $68,000 to $70,000. This is similar to what happened in September 2023 when Bitcoin broke above $28,000 after forming a similar structure.

Bitcoin’s Price Patterns Point to a Bullish Reversal

When we look at chart patterns, Bitcoin is showing signs of a double-bottom near the $53,000 price level. In trading terms, a double-bottom pattern often signals a bullish reversal. This means that Bitcoin might soon break out of its current price range and rise even higher.

At the moment, Bitcoin’s largest price asset in the crypto sector is holding steady. If it continues, this could be Bitcoin’s strongest September yet. If it manages to close the month in the green, it could lead to a bullish trend for the next three months, just like it did in 2015, 2016, and 2023.

Bitcoin’s History with September: A Mixed Track Record

Historically, September hasn’t been kind to Bitcoin. It has usually ended the month in the red every year except for 2015, 2016, and 2023. Whenever Bitcoin closes in the green in September, it tends to continue this positive trend in October, November, and December. This trend suggests that Bitcoin might be setting up for a promising Q4 this year.

Currently, Bitcoin’s price stands at $63,600, showing a 1.30% increase over the last 24 hours and an 8.52% gain over the past seven days. This growth has helped reduce losses from the past month to just 1.14%. These numbers suggest that Bitcoin could be in for a very bullish period in the months to come.

Chart Patterns: The Adam & Eve Double Bottom and Rising Wedge

Crypto expert has pointed out that Bitcoin is forming an ‘Adam & Eve Double Bottom’ pattern. This is a strong indicator of a potential bullish trend. The pattern is nearing its confirmation line, which, if broken, could signal a longer-term uptrend for Bitcoin.

However, there is a bit of caution to consider. Another professional crypto trader, noted that Bitcoin’s dominance might be approaching a tipping point. Bitcoin is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, which is usually a bearish signal. The resistance level for Bitcoin’s dominance is at 58.61%. If Bitcoin fails to break through this level, it could mean that altcoins may gain strength relative to Bitcoin, causing a potential shift in market trends.

Bitcoin Options Market: A Key to Predicting Price Swings

One way to get a better sense of where Bitcoin might be heading is by looking at the options market. Nick Forster, the founder of DeFi derivatives protocol Derive, pointed out that the options market is experiencing what he calls “reflexivity season.” Reflexivity refers to a cycle where traders’ actions influence the asset’s price, and in turn, the changing price affects the traders’ behavior. This creates a feedback loop that can drive the price even higher.

Forster pointed to the 30-day call/put skew for Bitcoin options contracts. This skew is continuing to “track higher,” meaning that traders are betting heavily on Bitcoin’s price moving upward. The options market is seeing increased interest from traders expecting Bitcoin to reach a price range of $80,000 to $90,000 by the end of November.

This bullish behavior in the options market suggests that traders are expecting more upside volatility, which could help push Bitcoin’s price even higher in the coming months.

The Impact of BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF Approval

Another major development in the Bitcoin market is the recent approval of options trading on BlackRock’s popular Bitcoin ETF, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT). The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) gave the green light for the Nasdaq International Securities Exchange to list and trade options on this ETF. This move is expected to bring more traditional financial traders into the Bitcoin options market, potentially leading to more price volatility.

However, Forster mentioned that while BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF options approval might eventually lead to lower volatility due to traditional financial traders selling covered calls, the immediate impact is still to be seen. For now, traders are taking advantage of the current volatility to capitalize on potential gains in the Bitcoin market.

How Altcoins Might Gain Strength Against Bitcoin

As Bitcoin’s dominance reaches a potential tipping point, altcoins could be set to gain strength relative to Bitcoin. A rising wedge pattern often signals a reversal in market trends, and with Bitcoin approaching its resistance dominance level at 58.61%, this could mean that altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, or Cardano might see a surge in interest and price.

The rising wedge pattern seen in Bitcoin’s dominance chart suggests that traders are closely watching for any signs of a shift in market dynamics. If Bitcoin fails to break through this resistance level, altcoins might start to outperform Bitcoin in the coming months.

Could Bitcoin Repeat Its ‘Uptober’ Trend?

The term “Uptober” has become popular among crypto enthusiasts because Bitcoin tends to rally in October. If Bitcoin manages to close this September in the green, it might follow its historical trend and continue to rise throughout October, November, and December.

Many analysts believe that a green September could be a strong sign that Bitcoin will reach new highs in the coming months. However, it’s essential to remember that the cryptocurrency market is known for its unpredictability. Despite the positive signs, it’s always wise to do your research before making any investment decisions.

The Role of Political Events in Bitcoin’s Future

Bitcoin’s future price movements could also be influenced by upcoming political events, particularly the U.S. presidential election. As we approach key political and economic events, the market sentiment for Bitcoin is positioning for potential volatile moves. This could create more opportunities for both gains and losses in the coming months.

According to Nick Forster, traders are already pricing in these potential political and economic changes. This adds another layer of uncertainty but also excitement, as the world’s largest cryptocurrency prepares for what could be a historic end to the year.

All things considered, Bitcoin’s strongest September performance might just be the beginning of a much bigger rally. The cryptocurrency’s price patterns, options market behavior, and historical trends all point to a bullish future. But with the crypto market’s inherent volatility and the influence of external factors, anything is possible.

As Bitcoin continues to defy its traditional September slump and heads into the promising ‘Uptober,’ traders, investors, and enthusiasts are eagerly watching to see if it can hit a new all-time high by the end of the year. With the support of market trends, ETF approvals, and political events, Bitcoin might just be on the path to making history once again.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink’s Support for Bitcoin and Its Impact on the Crypto Market

Bitcoin continues to capture the attention of investors worldwide, and recently, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink expressed strong support for the cryptocurrency. During an interview with CNBC, Fink highlighted Bitcoin’s legitimacy as a financial asset and explained why it’s valuable for diversifying investment portfolios. In this article, we’ll break down Fink’s views on Bitcoin, the upcoming FTX bankruptcy distributions, and how these events could influence the future of the crypto market, especially for Bitcoin and Solana.

Larry Fink’s View on Bitcoin as a Financial Asset

Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, believes that Bitcoin is a legitimate financial asset. Fink emphasized that Bitcoin offers uncorrelated returns, meaning it doesn’t move in the same direction as traditional investments like stocks or bonds. This makes Bitcoin an attractive option for those looking to diversify their investment portfolios. According to Fink, investors are turning to Bitcoin to protect themselves from macroeconomic challenges like currency devaluation and high national deficits.

Bitcoin’s decentralized nature makes it appealing to people who want more control over their finances, especially in countries experiencing financial instability. In such situations, Bitcoin provides an alternative investment opportunity that isn’t tied to traditional financial systems or government policies.

Why Bitcoin Offers Diversification

One of the main reasons Fink supports Bitcoin is its ability to deliver uncorrelated returns. This means that when other investments, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate, might be losing value, Bitcoin could be gaining. As a result, Bitcoin serves as a valuable asset for portfolio diversification, helping investors balance risks and rewards. This idea has made Bitcoin attractive to many who are concerned about the unpredictable nature of the global economy.

For investors worried about excessive national deficits leading to currency devaluation, Bitcoin acts as a hedge. As more countries face financial instability, Bitcoin offers a unique way to protect wealth and provides an alternative to fiat currencies.

The FTX Bankruptcy Distribution and Its Impact on the Crypto Market

While Bitcoin continues to prove its value, another major event is expected to impact the crypto market in late 2024. FTX, a well-known cryptocurrency exchange that went bankrupt, plans to distribute between $11-16 billion to its creditors. This large payout could act as a major catalyst for the crypto market, especially for Bitcoin and Solana.

The FTX reorganization plan is set to be finalized in the coming months, with a hearing scheduled for October 7. If approved, creditors will start receiving their payments by December 7. Unlike the Mt. Gox distribution that occurred this summer, which created selling pressure on Bitcoin, this FTX distribution is expected to have a different effect on the market.

Why the FTX Distribution Could Boost Bitcoin and Solana Prices

The FTX bankruptcy distribution will be in cash, meaning creditors will receive U.S. dollars instead of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. This difference is crucial because it could create buying pressure in the crypto market. Many of these creditors are likely to reinvest their cash back into cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being the top choice due to its status as a blue-chip crypto asset. This makes Bitcoin one of the main beneficiaries of the FTX distribution.

Solana and Solana-based cryptocurrencies are also expected to gain from this event. Since FTX had strong ties to the Solana network, many creditors may choose to reinvest their funds into Solana-related assets. Additionally, selling pressure from FTX liquidating its Solana assets has already subsided, which means the market is now ready for a potential influx of investment.

Differences Between FTX and Mt. Gox Distributions

It’s important to understand why the FTX distribution is different from the Mt. Gox distribution and how it might affect the crypto market. The Mt. Gox distribution gave creditors Bitcoin, which led to increased selling as these investors cashed out their holdings. In contrast, the FTX distribution is in cash, which means creditors will have to buy Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies if they want to reinvest. This shift from selling pressure to buying pressure is expected to benefit the crypto market and lead to higher prices for Bitcoin and Solana.

Risks That Could Affect the FTX Distribution

While the FTX distribution is expected to be a major positive event for the crypto market, there are still risks involved. First, court delays could push back the distribution timeline, meaning creditors might not receive their payments as quickly as expected. Some creditors are also unhappy with the current settlement plan and might demand more revisions, which could further delay the process.

Additionally, the final distribution amount might be less than the anticipated $16 billion. If legal expenses or rulings reduce the payout, the impact on the crypto market might not be as significant as expected. Lastly, the upcoming U.S. election results could introduce uncertainty into the market, potentially affecting the overall sentiment toward cryptocurrencies.

The Macroeconomic Environment and Bitcoin’s Future

Despite the challenges faced by the crypto market, Larry Fink remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s future. The current macroeconomic environment is showing signs of improvement, which could benefit Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Global liquidity has reached new all-time highs, and governments around the world are increasing their spending and cutting interest rates. These actions could create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and help drive up its price.

Furthermore, as Bitcoin continues to gain recognition as a legitimate financial asset, more investors are likely to include it in their diversified investment strategies. With major players like BlackRock supporting Bitcoin, it’s clear that the cryptocurrency is becoming a valuable tool for those looking to hedge against economic uncertainty.

Election Results and Their Impact on the Crypto Market

The upcoming U.S. election could also play a significant role in determining the future of the crypto market. If the election results are favorable, it could remove some of the uncertainty currently affecting market sentiment. This, combined with the FTX distribution, might lead to a surge in Bitcoin and Solana prices as investors regain confidence.

However, if the election results introduce new policies that negatively affect the crypto market, it could create challenges for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Despite these uncertainties, the overall outlook remains positive, and the FTX distribution could still serve as a major catalyst for the crypto market’s recovery.

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink’s support for Bitcoin underscores the growing recognition of the cryptocurrency as a legitimate financial asset. As Bitcoin offers uncorrelated returns and acts as a hedge against economic uncertainty, it’s becoming an increasingly valuable part of diversified investment strategies. Additionally, the upcoming FTX bankruptcy distribution could provide a much-needed boost to the crypto market, particularly for Bitcoin and Solana.

While risks remain, including potential court delays, reduced payout amounts, and the impact of the upcoming U.S. election, the future looks promising for Bitcoin. With global liquidity reaching all-time highs and investment opportunities on the rise, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are poised for growth. For now, all eyes are on the FTX distribution and how it will shape the next chapter in the world of digital assets.

MicroStrategy, a well-known artificial intelligence-powered cloud analytics firm, has made headlines once again by buying more Bitcoin. The company, led by Michael Saylor, announced that it had acquired an additional 7,420 BTC, pushing its total Bitcoin holdings to 252,220 BTC. This latest purchase, worth $458 million, further solidifies MicroStrategy’s position as the largest public Bitcoin holder. Let’s break down how MicroStrategy’s BTC investment strategy has evolved over time.

MicroStrategy’s $458 Million Bitcoin Purchase

On September 20, 2024, MicroStrategy announced that it had completed its $1 billion convertible senior notes offering. The company stated that it would use the proceeds from this offering to buy more Bitcoin, demonstrating a strong belief in Bitcoin as a valuable asset. Hours after this announcement, Michael Saylor, the founder and chairman of MicroStrategy, revealed that the firm had purchased Bitcoin worth over $458 million. According to details filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), MicroStrategy acquired the additional BTC at an average price of $61,750 per Bitcoin.

This recent purchase shows how MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy continues to be aggressive and confident. The move boosted the company’s total BTC holdings to 252,220 BTC, up from the previous 244,800 BTC. This purchase clearly shows the company’s dedication to strengthening its position in the Bitcoin market.

Why MicroStrategy Is Betting Big on Bitcoin

Since August 2020, MicroStrategy has been investing heavily in Bitcoin. Michael Saylor, who leads the company, believes that Bitcoin is a reliable store of value and a hedge against inflation. This is why MicroStrategy continues to increase its BTC holdings. By using funds from convertible senior notes and other investment options, MicroStrategy can buy Bitcoin and add it to its balance sheet. The company’s BTC investment strategy reflects its belief in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, even during market fluctuations.

The decision to invest more in Bitcoin is driven by the cryptocurrency’s performance over time. MicroStrategy is not just holding Bitcoin as a part of its reserves; it’s actively participating in the cryptocurrency investment world by making significant and well-planned moves.

The Role of Michael Saylor in MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Journey

Michael Saylor has been at the forefront of promoting Bitcoin as an essential asset for companies. His leadership has played a crucial role in shaping MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy. In fact, Saylor himself holds a personal Bitcoin investment of $1 billion, showing that he practices what he preaches.

Saylor’s impact on corporate Bitcoin investment can be seen in how MicroStrategy has consistently invested in Bitcoin, even when the market has experienced ups and downs. He often speaks about the benefits of Bitcoin on social media and in interviews, influencing other companies to consider adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. As a result, MicroStrategy’s actions have inspired other firms to rethink their investment strategies and consider the potential of cryptocurrency.

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Yield Performance

One interesting aspect of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin investment is the yield it has achieved so far. As of September 2024, the company announced that it had achieved a total BTC yield of 5.1% quarter-to-date and 17.8% year-to-date. This indicates that MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings have been quite profitable, even in a market that’s known for its volatility.

The fact that MicroStrategy has managed to earn a significant yield from its Bitcoin holdings adds more credibility to the company’s investment strategy. It shows that their decision to acquire more Bitcoin is not just about holding onto an asset but also about generating profit from it. This performance makes MicroStrategy’s BTC investment strategy even more attractive to other investors who are watching the cryptocurrency space.

MicroStrategy’s Total Bitcoin Holdings and Unrealized Profit

Since MicroStrategy first started buying Bitcoin in August 2020, the company has spent approximately $9.9 billion to add BTC to its balance sheet. The total Bitcoin holdings now stand at 252,220 BTC, and these assets were acquired at an average price of $39,266 per BTC. This means that MicroStrategy’s total investment has grown significantly, and the company now has an unrealized profit of over $5.9 billion based on the current Bitcoin prices.

This unrealized profit demonstrates how MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy has paid off. The company’s decision to buy more Bitcoin, even when prices were high, is proving to be a wise investment. This unrealized gain further solidifies the importance of Bitcoin as a valuable asset for companies like MicroStrategy.

SEC Filings and Regulatory Compliance

MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchases are not made in secret. The company regularly files reports with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) whenever it acquires more Bitcoin. This transparency helps build trust among investors and shows that MicroStrategy is serious about complying with regulations while building its BTC holdings.

In the latest SEC filing dated September 20, 2024, MicroStrategy provided details of its recent $458 million Bitcoin purchase. By following these legal requirements, the company ensures that its actions are transparent and that it maintains its reputation as a trustworthy public Bitcoin holder. This level of openness is crucial, especially for large companies investing in cryptocurrency.

Impact on the Bitcoin Market

MicroStrategy’s ongoing Bitcoin investments have a noticeable impact on the overall Bitcoin market. Each time the company announces a new purchase, Bitcoin prices often react positively, as investors see it as a sign of institutional confidence in the cryptocurrency. This not only strengthens Bitcoin’s market position but also attracts more investors who want to benefit from the growing interest in cryptocurrency investment.

Michael Saylor’s influence on corporate Bitcoin investment cannot be ignored. His public support for Bitcoin and MicroStrategy’s consistent purchases encourage other companies to consider adding BTC to their portfolios. As more institutions invest in Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency’s value and stability continue to improve, making it a more attractive option for both individual and corporate investors.

MicroStrategy’s decision to buy another $458 million worth of Bitcoin brings its total holdings to a massive 252,220 BTC, reaffirming its position as the largest public Bitcoin holder. Under Michael Saylor’s leadership, the company has shown a strong commitment to investing in Bitcoin as a reliable asset, with a focus on long-term growth and profitability. MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin acquisition strategy is not only about accumulating BTC but also about generating profit through yield performance.

By making consistent Bitcoin investments and staying transparent with SEC filings, MicroStrategy sets an example for other companies considering cryptocurrency investment. Its success story shows that Bitcoin can be a valuable addition to a company’s balance sheet, offering both profitability and a hedge against inflation. As MicroStrategy continues to build its Bitcoin empire, the world watches to see how this bold investment strategy will shape the future of corporate Bitcoin holdings.

The Federal Reserve has decided to lower its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points. This move marks the beginning of a much-anticipated easing cycle, starting with a significant first step. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced the federal funds rate to a target range of 4.75% to 5.00%, making it the first rate cut in four years. This decision has far-reaching implications for the economy, affecting everything from the U.S. labor market to the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy

Inflation and Employment Goals

Recent indicators show that economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. However, job gains have slowed, and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low. Inflation has made further progress toward the Committee’s 2 percent objective but remains somewhat elevated. The FOMC seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance.

Decision to Lower Interest Rates

In light of the progress on inflation and the balance of risks, the Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/2 percentage point. This rate cut accentuates a shift in the Fed’s fight against inflation, which peaked at a four-decade high of 9.1% in 2022. As the pace of inflation has slowed in recent months, the Fed’s focus has moved toward supporting a cooling U.S. labor market.

Monitoring Economic Developments

The Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. They are prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals. Assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Reaction from the Federal Reserve Leadership

Jerome Powell’s Statement

During a press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell described Wednesday’s cut as a “recalibration.” He noted that recent economic indicators have shown that the economy continues to grow, but the “upside risks to inflation have diminished, and the downside risks to employment have increased.” Powell emphasized that while the move was significant, it was not an attempt to play catch-up but rather a “commitment not to get behind.”

Summary of Economic Projections

Alongside the rate cut, Fed officials published a “Summary of Economic Projections.” A so-called dot plot indicated that policymakers believe the federal funds rate will settle close to around 4.5% by year’s end. Projections released in June pointed to a less pronounced drop in rates by the end of 2024, showing a median forecast of around 5%. Additionally, officials foresaw the federal funds rate falling to around 4% by the end of 2025, and those projections were lowered to 3.25% as well.

Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market

Bitcoin’s Price Movement

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s price has decreased 1.7% over the past day, falling to $60,000 as of this writing. The asset’s price dipped ahead of Wednesday’s rate-cut decision, along with Ethereum and Solana, which were down 2.6% to $2,300 and 3.1% to $129, respectively. Bitcoin ultimately popped above the $61,000 price point soon after the Fed announcement but cooled to about $60,700 as of the latest update.

Analysts’ Perspectives

Positive Outlook for Bitcoin

CoinShares Head of Research James Butterfill told Decrypt in a written statement that Wednesday’s rate-cut decision was a positive for Bitcoin. He said that lower borrowing costs should support the asset’s price if monetary conditions continue loosening in the months ahead. “The Fed have acted decisively, and that is unusual from a historical perspective,” he said. “But it is definitely the correct approach if they want to keep the U.S. economy on track.”

Bitcoin as a Store-of-Value Asset

Grayscale’s Head of Research Zach Pandl noted that the Fed’s “willingness to take risks with inflation tends to drive investors to store-of-value assets, like gold and Bitcoin.” Pandl highlighted that the Fed decided to go with a jumbo-sized cut despite stating that “inflation remains somewhat elevated” in its FOMC statement.

Risk Assets and Looser Monetary Policy

Hashdex’s Chief Investment Officer Samir Kerbage stated that risk assets like Bitcoin should benefit from looser monetary policy, overshadowing factors like geopolitical tension and election uncertainty in the coming months. “Our long-term investment thesis for Bitcoin remains intact regardless of the near-term direction of monetary policy,” he said. “Markets should benefit from the formalization of the Fed’s dovish shift.”

BlackRock’s Analysis of Bitcoin as a Diversifier

Bitcoin’s Unique Characteristics

BlackRock published a paper titled “Bitcoin: A Unique Diversifier,” which delves into why Bitcoin stands apart as a financial asset. The paper explains Bitcoin’s appeal to investors due to its uncorrelated nature with traditional risk and return drivers. Over the past 15 years, Bitcoin has evolved from an obscure digital experiment to a recognized asset class, increasingly integrated into portfolios worldwide.

Decentralized and Fixed-Supply Nature

As highlighted in the paper, Bitcoin’s unique characteristics—its decentralized, global, and fixed-supply nature—set it apart from traditional financial assets. BlackRock emphasizes that Bitcoin’s drivers of risk and return are distinct from those of conventional assets like stocks and bonds. While Bitcoin is highly volatile, its volatility doesn’t align neatly with traditional “risk on” and “risk off” frameworks.

Reaction to Market Conditions

Bitcoin often reacts to specific market conditions, geopolitical tensions, and concerns over fiscal sustainability in ways that make it an attractive alternative for investors seeking diversification. The paper uses the example of Bitcoin’s reaction to the August 2024 market pullback—an episode that saw a short-term co-movement with the S&P 500 but was followed by a rapid rebound. This behavior demonstrates how Bitcoin’s fundamentals often prevail over short-term trading volatility.

Bitcoin Amid Economic Instability

Hedge Against Global Monetary Instability

The paper argues that Bitcoin’s role as a non-sovereign, decentralized asset gives it a unique position during times of heightened geopolitical or economic instability. Some investors even view Bitcoin as a “flight to safety” asset during times of crisis, such as global market sell-offs or banking system crises. BlackRock highlights Bitcoin’s consistent ability to recover from deep drawdowns, often rallying as market participants recognize its potential during such disruptions.

Risks and Volatility

Despite its growing adoption, Bitcoin remains a risky asset. BlackRock acknowledges that, as an emerging technology, Bitcoin is still in the early stages of its journey toward becoming a widely accepted store of value or global payment asset. Factors like regulatory uncertainty, adoption challenges, and a still-maturing ecosystem continue to pose risks.

Portfolio Diversification

However, BlackRock maintains that Bitcoin’s risk profile is unique, and its long-term growth potential makes it a valuable diversifier, especially in small allocations within broader portfolios. Even with its volatility, adding Bitcoin to a portfolio has been shown to improve risk-adjusted returns at modest allocation levels. Ultimately, the paper concludes that Bitcoin’s detachment from traditional risk factors, along with its potential as a hedge against concerns such as global monetary instability or U.S. fiscal sustainability, makes it a compelling option for investors looking to diversify their portfolios.

Federal Reserve’s Commitment and Future Outlook

No “Mission Accomplished” Yet

During the press conference, Jerome Powell took a moment to clarify that the U.S. central bank isn’t celebrating inflation’s defeat yet. While policymakers have made progress on the road to sustainable price increases, he said there’s still more distance to travel. “We’re not saying mission accomplished or anything like that,” Powell said. “But I have to say, though, we’re encouraged by the progress that we have made.”

Influence on Risk Assets

Analysts have said that the dollar’s strength will likely weaken as the Fed cuts rates, supporting the value of assets like gold and Bitcoin. Still, some are wary that the Fed will startle markets with a 50-basis-point rate cut if it leads to heightened fears of an economic slowdown. The influence of Federal Reserve policies on cryptocurrency markets is becoming increasingly significant, especially as investors look for assets uncorrelated with traditional markets.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Market Recalibration

As markets recalibrated, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows surge. The increase indicated that “Bitcoin is establishing itself as a go-to tool for investors looking to go risk-on,” Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer of the asset manager Bitwise, said in a post on Twitter (now known as X). This trend underscores the growing interest in Bitcoin as an asset class, especially in the context of changing monetary policies.

The Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates by 50 basis points is a significant move with wide-ranging implications. While it aims to support the U.S. economy and labor market, it also affects global financial markets and the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin, with its unique characteristics and growing acceptance as a store-of-value asset, stands at an interesting crossroads. As geopolitical tensions and financial uncertainty increase, Bitcoin’s role as a unique diversifier may only become more pronounced. Investors, policymakers, and analysts alike will be watching closely to see how these developments unfold and what they mean for the future of both traditional and decentralized financial systems.

Bitcoin ETFs have gained $250 million worth of Bitcoin on Monday as investors become hopeful for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This surge is the largest in over a month, showing renewed interest in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). With this boost, Bitcoin’s price has increased, crossing the $61,000 mark for the first time in September.

What are Bitcoin ETFs?

Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are investment funds that hold Bitcoin. These funds allow investors to buy shares that track the value of Bitcoin, but without needing to own the digital currency directly. Instead of purchasing Bitcoin themselves, investors buy shares of a fund that holds Bitcoin on their behalf. This makes investing in Bitcoin easier for many people, as they can do it through traditional stock exchanges.

Top financial firms like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale launched these Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year after gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). During the first few months, these funds became very popular, attracting billions of dollars. However, interest slowed recently due to concerns about when the Federal Reserve would lower interest rates, and by how much.

Why Did Bitcoin ETFs Surge?

The recent $250 million addition to Bitcoin ETFs was fueled by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Many investors believe that the Fed will announce a significant reduction in interest rates, which could range from 25 to 50 basis points. Lower interest rates tend to encourage more risk-taking in financial markets, which is why Bitcoin ETFs saw this surge. Some experts predict that a larger 50-basis point cut is more likely, driving investors to buy more shares of Bitcoin ETFs.

According to James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, “We saw inflows really pick up on Friday last week when comments were made by various Fed members alluding to the 50bp cut and expressing a much more dovish tone.”

Bitcoin Price Jumps Along with ETF Inflows

As a result of the $250 million Bitcoin purchase by ETFs, the price of Bitcoin jumped to over $61,000 on Tuesday. This was the first time Bitcoin reached this price in September, signaling renewed interest in the digital currency. Earlier this year, Bitcoin saw its price hit an all-time high of $73,737 in March. However, it has since dropped about 18% from that peak, though recent inflows into Bitcoin ETFs suggest that the tide might be turning.

CoinShares reported that last week alone, $436 million was added to crypto investment funds, with most of that money going into Bitcoin ETFs. This surge came after a period where investors withdrew over $1.2 billion from Bitcoin funds. The renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs signals growing confidence among investors as they expect a major Fed announcement to provide further clarity on interest rates.

The Role of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve plays a big role in the financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. When the Fed raises or lowers interest rates, it influences investor behavior. In the case of Bitcoin ETFs, the expected rate cut has boosted demand for Bitcoin as lower borrowing costs often lead to more investment in riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

Investors are watching closely to see how much the Federal Reserve will cut rates. Many believe that a larger cut will boost Bitcoin’s price even further, driving more money into Bitcoin ETFs.

How ETFs Affect Bitcoin’s Price

Bitcoin ETFs are closely linked to the price of Bitcoin. When there’s increased demand for ETF shares, the funds need to buy more Bitcoin to back the shares they issue. This buying pressure can help drive up the price of Bitcoin. In turn, when Bitcoin’s price rises, more investors become interested, creating a cycle of growth.

The recent $250 million inflow into Bitcoin ETFs has already helped push Bitcoin’s price above $61,000. As more people invest in Bitcoin ETFs, the fund operators, such as BlackRock and Fidelity, will need to purchase even more Bitcoin. This could push the price even higher, especially if the Federal Reserve announces a large interest rate cut as expected.

Bitcoin’s Popularity with Big Investors

The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year opened the door for larger, more traditional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin. Unlike smaller retail investors, big institutional investors typically prefer to invest in Bitcoin through regulated products like ETFs, rather than buying and holding Bitcoin themselves.

These investors often wait for favorable conditions in the market, such as lower interest rates, before jumping into riskier assets like Bitcoin. The recent surge in Bitcoin ETF inflows suggests that many investors see now as a good time to increase their exposure to Bitcoin.

The Future of Bitcoin ETFs

As the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its next interest rate decision, investors are eagerly waiting to see how the market reacts. A large rate cut could lead to even more interest in Bitcoin ETFs, driving the price of Bitcoin higher. If the price of Bitcoin continues to rise, it may attract even more investors, creating a positive feedback loop for Bitcoin ETFs.

The renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs comes after a few months of slower growth. With more institutional money flowing into the market and the Federal Reserve expected to cut rates, Bitcoin ETFs could see further inflows in the coming weeks.

The market is still volatile, and there’s no guarantee that Bitcoin’s price will continue to rise. However, the recent surge of interest in Bitcoin ETFs suggests that many investors believe that Bitcoin could have more room to grow, especially if the Federal Reserve’s actions lead to favorable market conditions.

Bitcoin ETFs added $250 million on Monday, showing renewed interest from investors as they anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut. With Bitcoin’s price now above $61,000, and many expecting further gains, Bitcoin ETFs could continue to grow in popularity. The link between ETFs and the price of Bitcoin makes this an exciting time for cryptocurrency investors, with the Federal Reserve playing a crucial role in shaping future market movements.

Ethereum Hits 42-Month Low Against Bitcoin — Is This the Bottom or Will There Be More Pain?

Ethereum (ETH) has recently hit its lowest price in over three years compared to Bitcoin (BTC). Some analysts think this could be the bottom for Ethereum, but others believe there may be more downside to come. With Bitcoin’s dominance growing and Ethereum struggling, many investors are wondering what’s next for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

ETH/BTC Hits 42-Month Low

Ethereum’s price against Bitcoin has dropped to levels not seen in 42 months. The last time ETH/BTC was this low was back in April 2021. This significant drop is concerning for many traders, as it shows how much Ether has struggled in the market compared to Bitcoin.

According to Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, the situation for Ethereum looks dire. In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Thorn pointed out that Ethereum has dropped 53% against Bitcoin since the Merge in September 2022. He wrote, “ETH/BTC just traded on a 0.03 handle for the first time in 3.5 years. What stops this train?”

Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin is a worrying sign for many investors. While Bitcoin continues to show strength, Ethereum seems to be losing market share.

Bitcoin Dominance Grows

One major factor hurting Ethereum is the rising dominance of Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s dominance is now at 58%, meaning it makes up more than half of the entire cryptocurrency market. This is a huge increase and has put pressure on other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum.

With Bitcoin’s dominance increasing, Ethereum is losing ground. This has led to more people asking, “Is this the bottom for Ether, or will it continue to struggle against Bitcoin?”

Ethereum ETF Outflows Add to the Pressure

Another issue impacting Ethereum is the outflow of money from Ether ETFs. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) allow investors to buy and sell cryptocurrencies easily, but they have not been kind to Ethereum lately. By February 2024, Ether ETFs saw $581 million in net outflows. This means more people are selling their shares in these funds than buying.

Most of these outflows have come from Grayscale’s Ether ETF, which has seen $2.7 billion leave. This significant outflow shows a lack of confidence in Ethereum as an investment. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs have been doing much better. About 75% of new investments in the crypto space have gone into Bitcoin ETFs, pushing Bitcoin’s price past the $50,000 mark.

These Ether ETF outflows are one of the reasons why Ethereum’s price has been underperforming. When large amounts of money leave Ethereum, it puts downward pressure on the price and makes it harder for Ether to recover.

Will Ethereum Recover?

Despite the bad news, some analysts believe that Ethereum could be near a bottom. Crypto trader Anbessa recently noted in a post on X that Ethereum’s price has only been this low five times in its history. Each time, Ethereum went on to recover and reach higher prices.

Anbessa pointed out that the ETH/BTC pair recently dropped to a key Fibonacci retracement level at 0.03845 BTC. He believes this could be the bottom for Ethereum, saying, “ETH/BTC throwback to fib 0,382 at 0.03845 BTC. This should be the bottom.” He also highlighted that every time Ethereum has been this oversold, it has bounced back and gone much higher.

Many traders are watching these historical patterns closely. If Ethereum follows the same trends as in the past, we could see a recovery in the coming months.

What’s Next for Ether and Bitcoin?

While some are optimistic about Ethereum’s chances of recovery, others remain cautious. Popular investor Fred Krueger believes that Ethereum is on the “edge of collapse” against Bitcoin. He pointed out that not all ETFs are created equal, and Bitcoin ETFs are much more popular with investors than Ethereum ETFs.

Krueger shared data showing how Ether ETFs have struggled, while Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract more and more investment. This difference in ETF performance is a key reason why Ethereum’s price has been under pressure, and Krueger thinks this trend could continue.

So, is this the bottom for Ethereum, or will it keep losing market share to Bitcoin? The answer is unclear, and it depends on several factors. If Bitcoin’s dominance keeps rising and Ether ETFs continue to see outflows, Ethereum could face more pain. On the other hand, if Ethereum can find support at these low levels and Bitcoin’s dominance stalls, Ether may recover and regain some ground.

Ethereum’s 42-month low against Bitcoin is a significant moment for the cryptocurrency market. While some analysts believe this could be the bottom for Ethereum, others are not so sure. Bitcoin’s rising dominance and the outflow of money from Ether ETFs are both major challenges that Ethereum will have to overcome.

Investors should keep an eye on the ETH/BTC pair and watch for signs of a recovery or further decline. If Ethereum follows historical patterns, there is a chance that it could bounce back. However, the growing popularity of Bitcoin ETFs and the continued outflows from Ether ETFs are serious headwinds that could make it difficult for Ethereum to regain its footing.

For now, the future of Ethereum remains uncertain, and investors will need to stay cautious as the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve. Whether this is the bottom for Ether or if there’s more downside to come will depend on how these trends play out in the coming months.