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Ethereum Hits 42-Month Low Against Bitcoin — Is This the Bottom or Will There Be More Pain?

Ethereum (ETH) has recently hit its lowest price in over three years compared to Bitcoin (BTC). Some analysts think this could be the bottom for Ethereum, but others believe there may be more downside to come. With Bitcoin’s dominance growing and Ethereum struggling, many investors are wondering what’s next for the second-largest cryptocurrency.

ETH/BTC Hits 42-Month Low

Ethereum’s price against Bitcoin has dropped to levels not seen in 42 months. The last time ETH/BTC was this low was back in April 2021. This significant drop is concerning for many traders, as it shows how much Ether has struggled in the market compared to Bitcoin.

According to Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, the situation for Ethereum looks dire. In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Thorn pointed out that Ethereum has dropped 53% against Bitcoin since the Merge in September 2022. He wrote, “ETH/BTC just traded on a 0.03 handle for the first time in 3.5 years. What stops this train?”

Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin is a worrying sign for many investors. While Bitcoin continues to show strength, Ethereum seems to be losing market share.

Bitcoin Dominance Grows

One major factor hurting Ethereum is the rising dominance of Bitcoin. Bitcoin’s dominance is now at 58%, meaning it makes up more than half of the entire cryptocurrency market. This is a huge increase and has put pressure on other cryptocurrencies like Ethereum.

With Bitcoin’s dominance increasing, Ethereum is losing ground. This has led to more people asking, “Is this the bottom for Ether, or will it continue to struggle against Bitcoin?”

Ethereum ETF Outflows Add to the Pressure

Another issue impacting Ethereum is the outflow of money from Ether ETFs. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) allow investors to buy and sell cryptocurrencies easily, but they have not been kind to Ethereum lately. By February 2024, Ether ETFs saw $581 million in net outflows. This means more people are selling their shares in these funds than buying.

Most of these outflows have come from Grayscale’s Ether ETF, which has seen $2.7 billion leave. This significant outflow shows a lack of confidence in Ethereum as an investment. In contrast, Bitcoin ETFs have been doing much better. About 75% of new investments in the crypto space have gone into Bitcoin ETFs, pushing Bitcoin’s price past the $50,000 mark.

These Ether ETF outflows are one of the reasons why Ethereum’s price has been underperforming. When large amounts of money leave Ethereum, it puts downward pressure on the price and makes it harder for Ether to recover.

Will Ethereum Recover?

Despite the bad news, some analysts believe that Ethereum could be near a bottom. Crypto trader Anbessa recently noted in a post on X that Ethereum’s price has only been this low five times in its history. Each time, Ethereum went on to recover and reach higher prices.

Anbessa pointed out that the ETH/BTC pair recently dropped to a key Fibonacci retracement level at 0.03845 BTC. He believes this could be the bottom for Ethereum, saying, “ETH/BTC throwback to fib 0,382 at 0.03845 BTC. This should be the bottom.” He also highlighted that every time Ethereum has been this oversold, it has bounced back and gone much higher.

Many traders are watching these historical patterns closely. If Ethereum follows the same trends as in the past, we could see a recovery in the coming months.

What’s Next for Ether and Bitcoin?

While some are optimistic about Ethereum’s chances of recovery, others remain cautious. Popular investor Fred Krueger believes that Ethereum is on the “edge of collapse” against Bitcoin. He pointed out that not all ETFs are created equal, and Bitcoin ETFs are much more popular with investors than Ethereum ETFs.

Krueger shared data showing how Ether ETFs have struggled, while Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract more and more investment. This difference in ETF performance is a key reason why Ethereum’s price has been under pressure, and Krueger thinks this trend could continue.

So, is this the bottom for Ethereum, or will it keep losing market share to Bitcoin? The answer is unclear, and it depends on several factors. If Bitcoin’s dominance keeps rising and Ether ETFs continue to see outflows, Ethereum could face more pain. On the other hand, if Ethereum can find support at these low levels and Bitcoin’s dominance stalls, Ether may recover and regain some ground.

Ethereum’s 42-month low against Bitcoin is a significant moment for the cryptocurrency market. While some analysts believe this could be the bottom for Ethereum, others are not so sure. Bitcoin’s rising dominance and the outflow of money from Ether ETFs are both major challenges that Ethereum will have to overcome.

Investors should keep an eye on the ETH/BTC pair and watch for signs of a recovery or further decline. If Ethereum follows historical patterns, there is a chance that it could bounce back. However, the growing popularity of Bitcoin ETFs and the continued outflows from Ether ETFs are serious headwinds that could make it difficult for Ethereum to regain its footing.

For now, the future of Ethereum remains uncertain, and investors will need to stay cautious as the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve. Whether this is the bottom for Ether or if there’s more downside to come will depend on how these trends play out in the coming months.

Bhutan’s Bitcoin Holdings

Bhutan, a small mountainous country nestled in South Asia, has made a surprising entry into the world of cryptocurrency. Recently, it was revealed that Bhutan’s government holds a significant amount of Bitcoin (BTC), making it one of the few countries actively involved in cryptocurrency mining operations. This discovery sheds light on how small countries can adopt Bitcoin as an additional financial tool in their national portfolios. Unlike other nations, Bhutan’s government Bitcoin holdings are not from confiscated cryptocurrency assets but are the result of strategic, carbon-free crypto mining powered by hydroelectric resources.

Arkham Intelligence Uncovers Bhutan’s 13K BTC Holdings

Arkham Intelligence, a blockchain analysis firm, recently tracked and uncovered Bhutan’s crypto portfolio. They found that the Royal Government of Bhutan holds 13,092 BTC, valued at over $750 million, and 656 Ethereum (ETH), along with small amounts of other tokens like SAND and MATIC. This significant amount of Bitcoin accumulation was a revelation to many, highlighting Bhutan’s quiet yet strategic entry into the cryptocurrency space. The findings show how Arkham Intelligence uncovered Bhutan’s 13K BTC holdings, emphasizing the transparency in blockchain technology adoption.

Mining Operations Powered by Hydroelectric Resources

Bhutan’s government Bitcoin mining operations are unique due to their reliance on hydroelectric power for mining. The country is rich in hydroelectric resources, which it uses to generate renewable energy in crypto mining. This approach allows Bhutan to be a carbon-free crypto miner, reducing the environmental impact commonly associated with cryptocurrency mining. By utilizing excess hydroelectric power, Bhutan ensures that its mining operations do not interfere with domestic electricity needs. The impact of hydroelectric power on crypto mining efficiency is significant, as it provides a sustainable and cost-effective energy source.

Partnership Between Druk Holding and Bitdeer Technologies

The success of Bhutan’s mining endeavors is largely due to the partnership between Druk Holding and Bitdeer Technologies. Druk Holding, the state’s investment arm, invested $500 million in Bitcoin mining infrastructure. This substantial investment led to the development of mining facilities, including one at the now-abandoned Education City project. The partnership between Bhutan’s Druk Holding and Bitdeer Technologies has been instrumental in advancing the country’s technological investments. Additionally, the Foundry USA mining pool’s role in Bhutan’s Bitcoin accumulation cannot be overstated. By collaborating with the leading mining pool, Bhutan increases its chances of earning block rewards, which range between 1 and 5 BTC daily.

Comparison with El Salvador’s Bitcoin Reserves

Bhutan’s Bitcoin holdings have surpassed those of El Salvador, a country that has been vocal about its Bitcoin adoption under President Nayib Bukele. El Salvador currently owns 5,876 BTC, while Bhutan holds 13,092 BTC. This comparison of Bhutan and El Salvador’s government Bitcoin reserves highlights how a small country like Bhutan can significantly impact the global crypto portfolio. Considering Bhutan’s GDP of $2.96 billion per year, the government’s Bitcoin holdings are substantial. The significance of Bhutan’s BTC holdings relative to its GDP demonstrates the country’s confidence in Bitcoin’s future value and its role in national crypto investment strategies.

Self-Custody and Avoidance of DeFi Risks

Bhutan practices self-custody strategies for government-held cryptocurrencies, ensuring full control over its digital assets. The government has no exposure to loans, decentralized finance (DeFi), or other third-party holders, minimizing risks associated with market volatility. Bhutan’s approach to cryptocurrency without exposure to DeFi risks reflects a cautious and strategic investment strategy. Previously, Druk Holding engaged with companies like BlockFi and Celsius but was not affected by their bankruptcies. This careful management of their crypto assets safeguards Bhutan’s investments and supports their long-term financial goals.

Druk Holding’s Role in Advancing Technological Investments

Druk Holding plays a pivotal role in advancing Bhutan’s technological investments. The state investment company has partnered with over 50 companies, branching into areas such as artificial intelligence (AI), drone technologies, hardware manufacturing, and other emerging technologies. The role of Druk Holding in advancing Bhutan’s technological investments extends beyond cryptocurrency, aiming to secure the future of Bhutan’s citizens. By betting on the long-term potential of Bitcoin and other technologies, Druk Holding contributes to the country’s development and modernization efforts.

Global Overview of Government-Owned Bitcoin

Bhutan is among several governments that hold significant amounts of Bitcoin. Monarchies holding Bitcoin include the United Kingdom, which holds 61,245 BTC valued at $3.54 billion, primarily from confiscated coins. The US Government’s 203,239 BTC and the Chinese Government’s 190,000 BTC are also largely seized from illegal operations. Germany has divested 50,000 BTC, selling them on the open market. This global overview of government-owned Bitcoin and crypto assets shows that monarchies and other governments are becoming significant players in the cryptocurrency market. Understanding government cryptocurrency portfolios and their management is crucial as the influence of these holdings on the market grows.

The Environmental Benefits of Carbon-Free Crypto Mining

Bhutan’s utilization of excess hydroelectric power for mining offers significant environmental benefits. Carbon-free crypto mining operations reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with traditional mining methods that rely on fossil fuels. The environmental benefits of carbon-free crypto mining align with global efforts to combat climate change. Bhutan’s practices demonstrate how renewable energy in crypto mining can lead to sustainable development, setting an example for other nations to follow.

Future Prospects of Bitcoin Mining in Small Countries

The future prospects of Bitcoin mining in small countries like Bhutan are promising. By leveraging renewable energy resources, strategic investments, and partnerships with industry leaders like Bitdeer Technologies and Foundry USA, these countries can play a significant role in the global cryptocurrency market. Analyzing the strategies behind government accumulation of Bitcoin helps understand how nations can diversify their financial portfolios. The utilization of excess hydroelectric power in Bhutan for mining not only boosts the country’s economy but also positions it as a leader in sustainable mining practices.

Bhutan’s transparent Bitcoin holdings and innovative mining operations showcase how a small country can effectively participate in the cryptocurrency market. Through strategic partnerships, investments in renewable energy, and careful management of digital assets, Bhutan is embracing blockchain technology adoption. Their approach offers valuable insights into national crypto investment strategies, self-custody practices, and the potential for sustainable growth in the cryptocurrency sector. As more governments consider cryptocurrency adoption, Bhutan’s example highlights the importance of combining technological advancement with environmental responsibility.

El Salvador’s bonds saw a significant jump on Monday after President Nayib Bukele announced that the country’s 2025 budget would not require new debt. This pledge to reduce government spending signals that Bukele is aiming for a zero-deficit budget, which is a big move toward improving El Salvador’s financial health and possibly securing a long-awaited deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Bank of America has since upgraded El Salvador’s debt rating to “overweight,” showing confidence in the nation’s future economic stability. Bonds due in 2035 were among the biggest gainers, reaching their highest value since 2021.

Bukele’s Fiscal Austerity Plan

President Bukele’s fiscal austerity plan is meant to cut government spending and control the nation’s debt. In recent years, El Salvador’s debt has been rising, leading to worries about the country’s ability to make payments on time. By announcing a zero-deficit budget, Bukele is signaling to investors that El Salvador is serious about managing its finances responsibly.

Bukele also promised to submit next year’s budget by September 30. This budget will be a major step in demonstrating the government’s commitment to fiscal responsibility. The IMF has been hesitant to approve a deal with El Salvador, mainly because the country has struggled with fiscal consolidation in the past. However, Bukele’s new budget could change that.

Carlos de Sousa, a debt portfolio manager at Vontobel Asset Management, said that Bukele’s promise is a step in the right direction. Although it’s still unclear exactly how the government will balance the budget, investors are optimistic. Bukele’s pledge might be just the signal the IMF has been waiting for to move forward on a deal.

Rising Bond Values and Yield Decline

As soon as Bukele made his announcement, El Salvador’s bonds surged. Dollar notes due in 2035 saw the biggest rise, climbing by 2.2 cents to 80.5 cents, the highest level since 2021. This increase in bond prices shows that investors are gaining confidence in the country’s financial future.

In addition to rising bond prices, yields on El Salvador’s sovereign debt also dropped. The yield for the bond due in 2035 fell by more than 40 basis points, settling at 10.7%. Lower yields generally mean that investors are more confident that the country will be able to pay back its debts.

Bank of America’s decision to upgrade El Salvador’s debt from “market weight” to “overweight” further reflects the growing optimism around the country’s economic outlook. The bank’s analysts believe that El Salvador is now closer than ever to reaching a deal with the IMF, which could provide the country with much-needed financial stability.

Bitcoin’s Role in IMF Negotiations

One major obstacle to El Salvador securing a deal with the IMF has been its decision to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. Since El Salvador made Bitcoin an official currency, it has faced criticism from international financial organizations, including the IMF. These groups worry that Bitcoin’s volatility could make it harder for the country to manage its finances.

However, some analysts believe that Bukele’s recent “softer tone” on Bitcoin could help the country get closer to a deal with the IMF. Nathalie Marshik, a sovereign analyst at HSBC Securities, thinks that the government may be more willing to compromise on Bitcoin to get an IMF agreement.

Still, many investors remain cautious. Bitcoin’s future role in El Salvador’s economy is uncertain, and it continues to be a point of concern. The IMF has not yet agreed to a deal, and the issue of Bitcoin may continue to be a sticking point in negotiations.

Challenges Ahead: Reaching a Deal With the IMF

Despite the positive signs, there are still challenges ahead for El Salvador. Although the country’s fiscal austerity plan is a step in the right direction, many investors want to see more concrete actions before they fully commit to the country’s bonds.

Arif Joshi, co-head of emerging market debt at Lazard Asset Management, said that he has been waiting for two years to see an agreement between El Salvador and the IMF. He, like many others, wants to see actual evidence of how the government will reduce the fiscal deficit, which was 2.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) in the 12 months leading up to July.

In addition to the fiscal deficit, the adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender remains a key concern. While the government’s shift in tone may help, it is not yet clear whether this will be enough to convince the IMF to approve a deal.

Investor Sentiment and Economic Outlook

For now, many investors are encouraged by the signs of progress. The signal of a balanced budget is helpful, and the market is responding positively. Bond prices are up, and Bank of America’s upgrade is a clear indication that confidence is growing. But the future remains uncertain until a deal with the IMF is finalized.

Jared Lou, portfolio manager at William Blair, pointed out that while the promise of a balanced budget is a good sign, the real test will be whether Bukele’s government can address concerns over Bitcoin. The digital currency has been a major obstacle, and without an agreement on this issue, some investors will remain hesitant to fully back El Salvador’s debt.

Many are now waiting to see if Bukele’s government will follow through on its promise to reduce the fiscal deficit and if the IMF will finally approve a deal. A successful agreement could help boost El Salvador’s economy and make its bonds even more attractive to international investors.

El Salvador’s bonds are on the rise, but the country’s path to financial stability is not yet complete. For now, the market is hopeful that Bukele’s promises will translate into real action. If the country can secure a deal with the IMF, it could mark a turning point for its economy and its standing in the global bond market.

Ethereum Price Opens Below $2,500

Ethereum (ETH) opened trading at $2,419 on September 15, dropping by 3% over the weekend. Even though Ethereum gained 15% earlier in the week, it still couldn’t break through the $2,500 resistance level. In comparison, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ripple (XRP) surged past key levels of $60,000 and $0.60, respectively, during the same period.

While Ethereum’s price movement was weaker, some investors see this as a chance to buy more ETH at lower prices. Many of these investors are joining the Ethereum 2.0 staking network, which could provide them with long-term profits.

Ethereum Price Retreats from Key Resistance

Ethereum saw significant gains last week due to positive macroeconomic indicators, such as inflation data, showing lower-than-expected numbers. The crypto market started September slowly, but Ethereum bounced back with a strong performance, rising from $2,150 to a weekly high of $2,462 between September 7 and September 14. However, despite this upward momentum, Ethereum failed to break the critical $2,500 resistance level.

At the time of writing, Ethereum has dropped back to $2,415, a 2.6% decline over the last two days. While this decline may seem minor, many are watching to see if Ethereum can rally again and push through the $2,500 barrier.

On-Chain Trends Show Positive Signs for Ethereum 2.0 Staking

Even though Ethereum’s price didn’t break through the $2,500 resistance, there are signs of optimism. The Ethereum 2.0 staking network has been growing steadily, with investors adding more ETH to staking contracts. Ethereum 2.0 staking allows investors to lock up at least 32 ETH, which helps secure the network and validate transactions. In return, these investors earn passive income from the staking rewards.

The current annual yield for Ethereum staking is around 4.6%. With talk of the U.S. Federal Reserve potentially cutting interest rates, more investors are moving their money into riskier assets like ETH. This makes staking a more attractive option, especially as traditional investments offer lower returns.

$400 Million Deposited into ETH Staking Contracts After CPI Report

Ethereum’s 2.6% price drop over the weekend was disappointing, but it didn’t scare away investors. Since the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on September 11 showed lower inflation, many investors have been looking at Ethereum staking as a good opportunity. Official data from Beaconcha.in shows that after the report, investors added 130,000 ETH to staking contracts, worth about $502 million.

This recent surge in staking deposits reflects growing confidence in Ethereum, as more people are joining the Ethereum 2.0 staking network. Since September 12, the total staked value has increased to 34.32 million ETH. Additionally, the number of unique validators (those who stake and secure the network) also grew by 4,003, reaching 1,072,531 by September 15.

This increase in staking activity has positive implications for Ethereum’s price. When more investors stake ETH, it reduces the available supply in the market. This can create upward pressure on Ethereum’s price because there is less ETH to buy or trade in the short term.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Can It Break $2,500?

Looking ahead, many analysts believe Ethereum could soon break through the $2,500 resistance. The latest on-chain data, including the growing number of ETH 2.0 stakers and recent staking inflows, suggests that Ethereum has strong upward potential. If Ethereum can move past this resistance level, it could signal the start of a new bull run.

Technical analysis also supports this optimistic outlook. The Linear Regression Channel, a tool used to track price trends, shows that Ethereum is trading near the top of its current price channel. If Ethereum breaks through $2,500, it could quickly rise to $2,600 and beyond. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of whether an asset is overbought or oversold, is currently around 45.43. This means Ethereum is in a neutral zone, giving it room to move upward without being overvalued.

Staking Inflows May Lead to a Price Rally

The rise in staking inflows, along with a growing number of validators, points to increasing bullish sentiment in the Ethereum ecosystem. With 130,000 ETH added to staking contracts in just 72 hours, the supply of Ethereum in the market has tightened. This reduced supply could help Ethereum’s price surge, especially if more investors continue staking and holding their ETH.

If Ethereum’s price breaks the $2,500 resistance level, it could quickly reach $2,600, a key psychological level for many investors. Breaking through $2,600 could mark the start of a more extended rally, drawing in more buying interest and further pushing up the price.

However, if Ethereum fails to break $2,500 and falls below its support level at $2,350, it could drop back down to around $2,150. Given the positive sentiment and the recent increase in staking activity, a dip below $2,350 seems unlikely at this time.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

For investors watching Ethereum closely, the key levels to watch are $2,500 for resistance and $2,350 for support. If Ethereum can break through $2,500, it will likely move toward $2,600 and could start a new bull run. If the price falls below $2,350, Ethereum could slip toward $2,150. However, the rise in staking inflows and new validators suggests that Ethereum has strong support, making a sharp drop less likely.

Ethereum’s price action in the coming days will depend on whether it can break through the critical $2,500 resistance level. With the recent increase in ETH 2.0 staking inflows and the possibility of a U.S. interest rate cut, Ethereum could be on the verge of a breakout. Investors are optimistic that Ethereum will see continued growth in the weeks ahead, especially if the broader cryptocurrency market remains strong.

Bitcoin ETFs Experience Major Inflows

On Friday, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. saw their largest single-day inflow since late July, with over $263 million invested. This is a huge boost for the market, as Bitcoin’s price surged above $60,000 for the first time in weeks. According to data from TradingView, Bitcoin’s price has jumped 12% in the last week, hitting a high of $60,600. This increase is largely driven by strong investments into Bitcoin ETFs, showing renewed interest from big players in the financial world.

Fidelity’s Bitcoin fund, called FBTC, led the pack with an impressive $102 million inflow in a single day. This brings the fund’s weekly gains to about $218 million, signaling a recovery after weeks of poor performance. In total, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs ended the week with over $400 million in net inflows. Other major Bitcoin ETFs, like ARK Invest/21Shares’ Bitcoin Fund (ARKB), followed closely with $99 million in new capital.

Fidelity and Other ETFs Recover After Losses

Fidelity’s FBTC fund had been struggling before this week, with $467 million drained from it over the last two weeks. However, Friday’s inflows show a turnaround, as investors seem more optimistic about the future of Bitcoin. Other Bitcoin ETFs managed by companies like Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Valkyrie, VanEck, and Grayscale also saw positive inflows, which helped push Bitcoin’s price upward.

Not every ETF performed well, though. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and WisdomTree’s Bitcoin Fund (BTCW) saw no inflows. In fact, IBIT has experienced outflows on several occasions over the past two weeks, especially on August 29 and September 9. This could be a sign that some investors are looking elsewhere for better opportunities, but overall, the renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency market.

Why Bitcoin’s Price Is Surging

Bitcoin’s rise past $60,000 is significant for a few reasons. First, the recent jump in ETF investments suggests that more institutional investors are feeling confident about Bitcoin’s future. When big funds like Fidelity and ARK Invest put large amounts of money into Bitcoin, it often signals that these institutions expect the cryptocurrency’s price to rise further.

Another reason for the price increase is the upcoming decision by the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Many investors believe that the Fed will cut interest rates, possibly by as much as 50 basis points. This would make borrowing cheaper and could lead to more investments in assets like Bitcoin, which are seen as alternatives to traditional investments. Lower interest rates often encourage people to put their money into riskier investments, hoping for higher returns.

Institutional Investors Are Betting on Bitcoin

Institutional investors like MicroStrategy are playing a major role in supporting Bitcoin’s recent price rise. MicroStrategy, which holds one of the largest Bitcoin reserves among corporations, recently bought an additional 18,300 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 248,000 BTC. The company’s average purchase price for Bitcoin is around $38,681, and with Bitcoin now trading above $60,000, they have made a profit of over $5 billion.

This shows that big investors are still confident in Bitcoin’s long-term value. When large companies like MicroStrategy continue to buy Bitcoin, it sends a strong signal to the market that the cryptocurrency has staying power and could continue to rise in price.

Bitcoin’s Support and Resistance Levels

Bitcoin has been battling to break past the $60,000 resistance level for some time. Now that it has finally surged beyond this point, traders are looking at the next resistance level, which lies between $61,000 and $63,000. If Bitcoin can stay above $60,000 for a sustained period, we could see it push even higher in the coming weeks.

On the downside, Bitcoin’s support level is currently around $59,000, with a stronger support level at $58,000. These levels act as safety nets, meaning if Bitcoin’s price drops, it may stabilize around these points before rising again.

Impact of Federal Reserve’s Rate Decision

The upcoming meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is one of the biggest factors that could impact Bitcoin’s price. Many investors expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 to 50 basis points. A larger rate cut of 50 basis points could lead to another surge in Bitcoin’s price, as more investors move their money into alternative assets.

However, there are also risks. Markus Thielen from 10x Research warns that if the Fed cuts rates by 50 basis points, it could be a sign that the U.S. economy is facing deeper issues. This could cause some market uncertainty, which might impact Bitcoin and other assets.

The Broader Cryptocurrency Market Also Sees Gains

Bitcoin isn’t the only cryptocurrency that’s been performing well lately. Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has seen an 8% increase in its price, rising to $2,400. Other cryptocurrencies like Toncoin (TON), Chainlink (LINK), and Avalanche (AVAX) have also posted strong gains, according to CoinGecko data.

This broad recovery in the cryptocurrency market suggests that investor confidence is returning, not just for Bitcoin but for the entire digital asset space. As institutional interest grows, we could see even more positive price movement in the coming weeks.

What Does This Mean for Bitcoin ETF Investors?

While the recent surge in Bitcoin ETFs is good news, some investors are still in the red. A report from ARK Invest shows that the average cost basis for Bitcoin ETF investors was above the current market price as of late August. This means many investors bought Bitcoin at higher prices and are waiting for the price to rise further before they can break even.

Despite this, ARK Invest points out that Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong. According to their analysis, Bitcoin’s market capitalization compared to its cost basis (measured by the MVRV Z-Score) shows that the cryptocurrency still has room to grow.

Final Thoughts

The recent inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs and Bitcoin’s price rise above $60,000 are clear signs of renewed confidence in the cryptocurrency market. With institutional investors like Fidelity and MicroStrategy continuing to buy Bitcoin, and with the potential for interest rate cuts on the horizon, the future looks bright for Bitcoin and other digital assets.

However, as with any investment, there are risks. Investors should keep an eye on key market events, such as the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision, and be prepared for potential price fluctuations. For now, though, the outlook for Bitcoin ETFs and the broader cryptocurrency market remains positive.

MicroStrategy, a large business intelligence and software company, has made another big move in the world of Bitcoin. Between August 6 and September 12, 2024, the company bought around 18,300 Bitcoin (BTC), increasing its already large Bitcoin holdings. This purchase was funded by selling over 8 million shares of the company.

MicroStrategy’s $1.11 Billion Bitcoin Purchase

MicroStrategy’s latest Bitcoin purchase cost a total of $1.11 billion. According to a filing with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company paid an average of $60,408 for each Bitcoin, including fees and expenses. This brings the company’s total Bitcoin holdings to around 244,800 BTC, which is currently worth about $14.14 billion.

The purchase is part of MicroStrategy’s ongoing strategy to invest heavily in Bitcoin. The company, led by CEO Michael Saylor, made its first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020. Since then, they have steadily increased their holdings and continue to show confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

The Growth of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Holdings

MicroStrategy’s first purchase of Bitcoin was back on August 11, 2020, when Bitcoin was trading at much lower prices. Over the years, the company has continued to buy more Bitcoin, taking advantage of price dips and maintaining a long-term strategy. The latest purchase has boosted MicroStrategy’s holdings to 244,800 BTC, making them one of the largest holders of Bitcoin among public companies.

The average price that MicroStrategy has paid for all its Bitcoin purchases since 2020 is around $38,585 per BTC. This means the company has spent about $9.45 billion to acquire its Bitcoin holdings, and now those holdings are worth $14.14 billion. Many financial analysts have debated whether this strategy is too risky, but so far, it has been profitable for MicroStrategy.

How MicroStrategy Funds Its Bitcoin Purchases

One of the most interesting aspects of MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin buying strategy is how they fund these massive purchases. The recent $1.11 billion purchase was made possible by selling 8,048,449 company shares. This was done through a sales agreement with several financial institutions, allowing MicroStrategy to raise the funds needed to buy more Bitcoin.

This type of funding strategy has been used before by the company and allows them to expand their Bitcoin portfolio without dipping into cash reserves or taking on large amounts of debt. The ability to raise funds by selling shares gives the company flexibility and shows how serious they are about holding Bitcoin for the long term.

MicroStrategy’s Stock and Bitcoin Investment Success

MicroStrategy’s strategy of buying Bitcoin has not only grown its cryptocurrency holdings but has also had a major impact on the company’s stock. Since the company started investing in Bitcoin, its stock price has skyrocketed, rising by around 1,000% since August 2020.

At that time, the price of Bitcoin was around $37,000 per coin, and MicroStrategy’s holdings were worth about $13.77 billion. As Bitcoin’s value has gone up, so has the value of MicroStrategy’s stock. Financial analysts have noted that the company has outperformed the S&P 500 index by over 16.25 times, making its stock one of the top performers in the market.

The Debate Over MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy

MicroStrategy’s approach to buying Bitcoin has sparked a lot of discussion in the financial world. Some analysts believe the company is taking on too much risk by investing so heavily in a volatile asset like Bitcoin. Others, however, praise the strategy as forward-thinking, especially as Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream adoption.

CEO Michael Saylor has been one of the most vocal advocates for Bitcoin, regularly defending the company’s decisions and speaking about the long-term benefits of holding Bitcoin. Saylor believes that Bitcoin will continue to rise in value, and he has publicly stated that he sees it as a superior asset to traditional investments like gold or bonds.

Marathon Digital Adds 5,000 Bitcoin

MicroStrategy isn’t the only company making headlines with its Bitcoin purchases. Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), a major player in the Bitcoin mining industry, has also been busy buying Bitcoin. In the last month, Marathon added over 5,000 BTC to its reserves, bringing its total holdings to 26,200 BTC, which is worth around $1.5 billion.

Marathon follows a similar strategy to MicroStrategy by holding on to its Bitcoin (a strategy known as “HODL”). Marathon’s Bitcoin holdings now account for approximately 0.12% of the total Bitcoin supply, and the company is the second-largest public holder of Bitcoin, right behind MicroStrategy.

Marathon Digital’s aggressive buying spree shows that public companies are becoming more and more involved in the cryptocurrency space, not just as a technology but also as a store of value and investment.

Bitcoin Holdings by Public Companies Grow

In 2024, public companies have continued to increase their Bitcoin holdings. At the beginning of the year, public companies held around 272,770 BTC, but by now, that number has grown to 333,329 BTC. This trend is not limited to companies like MicroStrategy and Marathon Digital but extends to ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) and other investment funds as well.

ETFs and funds that hold Bitcoin have increased their holdings from 771,000 BTC to over 1 million BTC this year, showing that institutional investors are also getting more involved in Bitcoin. This is seen as a sign that Bitcoin is maturing as an asset class, and more traditional investors are beginning to take it seriously.

MicroStrategy’s Future with Bitcoin

As MicroStrategy continues to buy more Bitcoin, the company has made it clear that it sees cryptocurrency as a core part of its business strategy. CEO Michael Saylor has said that the company plans to hold Bitcoin for the long term and may even continue to buy more as opportunities arise.

The company’s success in growing both its Bitcoin holdings and its stock price has been remarkable. However, with the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market, it remains to be seen whether this strategy will continue to pay off in the future.

In the meantime, MicroStrategy has positioned itself as a leader in the world of Bitcoin, and other companies are taking note. As more public companies and institutions continue to buy Bitcoin, the future of the cryptocurrency looks bright, and MicroStrategy is likely to remain at the forefront of this trend.

The Impact of Bitcoin on MicroStrategy’s Stock Price

Bitcoin has played a big role in boosting MicroStrategy’s stock price. When the company first began buying Bitcoin, many investors were unsure whether the move would pay off. But with the rise in Bitcoin’s price over the past few years, MicroStrategy’s stock has soared.

At the same time, the company’s commitment to Bitcoin has given it a unique position in the market. While many other companies have been hesitant to invest heavily in cryptocurrency, MicroStrategy has gone all-in. This has made it an attractive option for investors who believe in the future of Bitcoin.

Financial analysts have pointed out that the company’s stock has benefited from both the rise in Bitcoin’s value and the overall growth of the cryptocurrency market. As more companies and investors buy into the idea of Bitcoin as a store of value, MicroStrategy’s stock is likely to remain strong.

MicroStrategy’s decision to buy 18,300 more Bitcoin and bring its total holdings to 244,800 BTC is a bold move that reflects the company’s confidence in the future of cryptocurrency. With its stock price soaring and its Bitcoin holdings continuing to grow, MicroStrategy is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing rise of Bitcoin. As other companies like Marathon Digital also continue to add to their Bitcoin reserves, it’s clear that public companies see value in holding and investing in this digital asset.

BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, believes Bitcoin is the solution to rising global financial instability. With $9 trillion in assets under management, BlackRock says Bitcoin can act as a hedge against the growing uncertainty caused by geopolitical tensions, economic turmoil, and weakening trust in governments, banks, and fiat currencies. According to them, Bitcoin is more than just an investment; it is a “global monetary alternative.”

BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF and Its Impact

BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has been one of the top-performing funds since its launch in January 2024. The success of this ETF has driven Bitcoin’s price to reach an all-time high of over $73,000. Investors are increasingly looking at cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as a safeguard against traditional market uncertainties. The explosive growth of the IBIT ETF, along with other crypto-based ETFs, has been one of the most talked-about topics in the financial world this year.

The idea of Bitcoin as a hedge against global financial instability is becoming more popular, especially as concerns grow over fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar. Even though the U.S. dollar remains the world’s leading reserve currency, some investors and central banks are beginning to question its long-term stability.

Bitcoin as a Global Monetary Alternative

BlackRock views Bitcoin as a “global monetary alternative.” This means they see Bitcoin as more than just a digital currency; it has the potential to replace or at least supplement traditional fiat currencies. Many central banks are exploring digital currencies as a way to diversify and protect themselves from potential collapses in the value of fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar.

For example, central banks are increasingly looking at blockchain technology to support their digital currency initiatives. The idea is that by using a decentralized system like blockchain, governments and financial institutions can safeguard their assets in a more secure and transparent way. With the rise of digital currencies, many are considering Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as viable alternatives to fiat money.

The Role of the U.S. Dollar and Central Banks

Despite the growing interest in digital currencies, the U.S. dollar still holds a dominant position in the global economy. Recently, the dollar gained 0.38% against the yen, trading at 142.905 after dropping to its lowest point since December 2023. Meanwhile, the euro has been hovering at $1.1007, close to its weakest level since August. The British pound has also experienced a dip, sitting at $1.30360, a low not seen since late August.

These shifts in currency values reflect the uncertainty in global markets. Many investors are turning to Bitcoin as a hedge against potential economic downturns and the instability of fiat currencies. At the same time, central banks are exploring digital currencies to protect their economies from the potential collapse of the dollar.

How Federal Reserve Policies Affect Bitcoin

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policies also play a crucial role in the cryptocurrency market. In recent months, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) has shown an increase of 0.2%, mirroring July’s growth. The Core CPI, which excludes volatile factors like food and energy, rose by 0.3%, signaling a faster rate of inflation compared to the previous month.

This rise in inflation has shifted expectations about the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate cuts. Many economists now predict a smaller, 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. The odds of this happening have risen to 80%, though there is still a chance of a larger, 50-basis-point cut. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has acknowledged that the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle is necessary to slow down the economic downturn while controlling inflation. However, the IMF has also warned that the Federal Reserve must remain flexible and ready to adapt to changing economic conditions.

As the Federal Reserve moves to cut interest rates, Bitcoin could benefit as a hedge against inflation and economic instability. Lower interest rates typically weaken the dollar, making Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies more attractive as alternatives to traditional investments.

Consumer Views on Cryptocurrency

A recent Deutsche Bank report highlights how U.S. consumers are becoming more open to cryptocurrency. The report surveyed over 3,600 people across the U.S., U.K., and Europe between March and July, revealing that fewer than 1% of consumers now view cryptocurrency as a “fad,” a significant drop from previous years.

According to the report, 65% of U.S. consumers believe that cryptocurrency, including Bitcoin, could eventually replace cash. The shift in consumer attitudes reflects a broader acceptance of digital currencies as a legitimate form of payment and investment. Additionally, just over half of the survey’s respondents consider cryptocurrency an important asset class, further supporting the idea that digital currencies are here to stay.

The Future of Bitcoin and Crypto Adoption

While the Deutsche Bank report paints a positive picture of the future of cryptocurrency, opinions on Bitcoin’s future remain mixed. Around a third of the survey respondents predict that Bitcoin’s price will remain below $60,000 by the end of the year. On the other hand, 12% to 14% of respondents believe Bitcoin will surpass $70,000.

Long-term predictions are also divided. Around 40% of respondents believe that Bitcoin will continue to thrive, while 38% think it could disappear altogether. This division in opinion highlights the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, despite their growing acceptance.

Stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, also face an uncertain future. Only 18% of survey respondents believe that stablecoins will thrive in the coming years, while 42% predict that they will fade away. However, stablecoins backed by traditional commodities like gold or fiat currencies are seen as more likely to maintain their value over time.

Bitcoin’s Role in Diversifying Portfolios

For many investors, Bitcoin offers an opportunity to diversify their portfolios in the face of global financial uncertainty. While traditional assets like stocks and bonds remain popular, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are becoming more widely accepted as a way to hedge against inflation and potential fiat currency collapses.

Bitcoin ETFs, like BlackRock’s IBIT, have helped make cryptocurrencies more accessible to everyday investors. These ETFs offer exposure to the cryptocurrency market without the need to directly buy and store Bitcoin, making them an attractive option for both institutional and retail investors.

Central Banks and Digital Currencies

Central banks around the world are also exploring the potential of digital currencies. These central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) aim to offer a more secure and efficient alternative to traditional money, particularly in times of economic instability. Blockchain technology, which powers cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, is at the heart of these efforts.

By using blockchain, central banks hope to create a transparent and secure system that can help protect their economies from the potential collapse of fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar. With many central banks already researching and developing CBDCs, the future of digital currencies looks promising.

BlackRock’s promotion of Bitcoin as a hedge against global financial instability reflects a broader shift in how people view digital currencies. As geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties continue to rise, more investors and central banks are turning to Bitcoin as a safe haven. While the future of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies remains uncertain, their growing acceptance as global monetary alternatives is undeniable.

Bitcoin’s role in diversifying portfolios, the success of crypto-based ETFs, and the rise of central bank digital currencies all point to a future where digital assets play an increasingly important role in the global financial system. Whether Bitcoin will one day replace fiat currencies like the U.S. dollar is still up for debate, but its potential to serve as a hedge against financial instability is becoming clearer every day.

Bitcoin has been a hot topic in the world of finance for years. As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, many people are wondering how the election might impact the price of Bitcoin. But according to many experts and investors, Bitcoin’s future is bright, no matter who wins. Whether it’s Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, Bitcoin is likely to keep thriving in the long run.

Why Bitcoin Could Hit Six Figures

Some crypto investors believe that Bitcoin will soon reach six figures. Steven Lubka, head of private clients at Swan Bitcoin, is one of these investors. Lubka believes that by 2025, Bitcoin could be worth $100,000 or more. He also says that the U.S. election won’t change Bitcoin’s long-term success.

Lubka explains that Bitcoin’s value is mostly tied to the fiscal and monetary policies of countries like the United States. He says that no matter who becomes the next president, the factors that impact Bitcoin’s price will stay the same. Investors who are worried about how a Kamala Harris presidency might hurt Bitcoin are exaggerating, according to Lubka. In fact, he thinks the U.S. election won’t have a big effect on Bitcoin’s price over the next year.

Institutional Support for Bitcoin

One reason why Bitcoin has become more stable is the growing support from institutional investors. In 2024, Bitcoin became more institutionalized, especially with the introduction of U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These ETFs have made it easier for large investors and companies to invest in Bitcoin, which has helped to boost its price.

James Davies, co-founder of Crypto Valley Exchange, believes that while some crypto startups might struggle under new regulations, Bitcoin itself will keep growing. He explains that the Bitcoin market is not just focused on the U.S. but is a global commodity. This means that even if U.S. regulations change, Bitcoin will continue to do well on a global scale.

Impact of U.S. Election on Bitcoin

While the election is a major event, it may not have as big of an effect on Bitcoin as some people think. Some investors initially believed that if Donald Trump were re-elected, it would push Bitcoin prices higher. Trump made several pro-crypto moves in 2024, which excited many Bitcoin supporters. He even spoke at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, where he discussed his views on the future of cryptocurrency.

On the other hand, many investors worried that a Kamala Harris presidency could hurt Bitcoin’s growth. Some believed that Harris shared the views of other Democrats like Senator Elizabeth Warren and SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who have been critical of cryptocurrencies. However, recent signs show that Harris might not be as tough on crypto as some feared. In fact, her campaign has been talking with leaders in the crypto industry, which could lead to better regulations for Bitcoin.

The Bigger Picture: Bitcoin and the Global Economy

While the U.S. election is important, it’s not the only thing that affects Bitcoin’s price. Macroeconomic developments like interest rates, inflation, and international policies also play a major role. Recently, Bitcoin’s price dropped slightly after a debate between Harris and Trump. However, investors said the drop was more about changes in interest rates in Japan and concerns about U.S. inflation data.

Tyrone Ross, founder of 401 Financial, says that the election might not change Bitcoin’s performance much in the next year. He believes that factors like ETF access and retail trading will have a bigger impact on Bitcoin’s price. Ross thinks that while the election might make it harder for some startups, Bitcoin is now seen as an institutional-grade asset, which will help it continue to grow no matter who wins the election.

Long-Term Outlook for Bitcoin

Looking ahead, most experts believe that Bitcoin will continue to grow over the next few years. Even though there are concerns about new regulations and the outcome of the U.S. election, Bitcoin has shown that it can thrive even in difficult times. Investors have been impressed with how well Bitcoin has performed under the current Biden administration, which has been seen as unfriendly to cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin has been one of the top-performing assets over the last decade. Despite facing opposition from governments and regulators, it has continued to grow and gain more institutional support. Investors like Daniel Cawrey, chief strategy officer at Tonkeeper, believe that Bitcoin is in a strong position going into the 2024 election. Even if the election causes short-term price changes, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive.

Bitcoin’s Role in the Global Economy

Another key reason why Bitcoin is expected to keep thriving is its role in the global economy. While the U.S. is an important market for Bitcoin, it’s not the only one. Bitcoin is a global asset, and its price is influenced by events around the world, not just in the United States. As more countries adopt Bitcoin and more investors around the world buy into it, the price is expected to continue rising.

Even though the U.S. election could cause some short-term uncertainty, investors believe that Bitcoin’s global nature will help it remain strong. As James Davies points out, the U.S. election is just one factor in a much larger global market for Bitcoin. Crypto investors have learned to adapt to changes, and they are confident that Bitcoin will continue to grow regardless of who wins the presidency.

Up Next

Bitcoin’s future looks bright, with many investors predicting that it will soon hit six figures. While the U.S. presidential election might cause some short-term changes in Bitcoin’s price, experts agree that the long-term outlook is strong. Factors like institutional support, global adoption, and macroeconomic trends will continue to drive Bitcoin’s growth, regardless of who is in the White House. As Bitcoin continues to gain more support from investors around the world, it is expected to remain a key player in the global economy for years to come.