Bitcoin Bottom Signal? German Government Runs Out of BTC to Sell
Key BTC Price Levels Emerge as Bitcoin Hits $58K on ‘Sticky’ US PPI
Bitcoin’s price hit $58,000 around July 12 when Wall Street opened. This happened as markets reacted to the “sticky” United States inflation data.
Bitcoin Joins Stocks in Positive PPI Reaction
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed that Bitcoin’s strength improved as the Producer Price Index (PPI) print for June rose more than expected. The year-on-year PPI came in at 2.6%, higher than the expected 2.3%, and 0.1% more than the previous month.
“On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 2.6 percent for the 12 months ended in June, the largest advance since moving up 2.7 percent for the 12 months ended March 2023,” said the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
While the July 11 Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers showed a different story, BTC/USD avoided a downturn. Instead, it gained modestly along with US stocks while the dollar weakened.
Analyst Insights on PPI Data
Popular trader Skew noted that while prices for energy, food, and trade services were rising, the overall PPI was “sticky.” He pointed out that without these sectors, the index was “basically flat,” which was less surprising for the markets.
He observed that initial market reactions showed the US Dollar Index (DXY) and yields rising before falling again. This indicated a market shift, expecting a tough future if demand continues to weaken. He mentioned that stocks like NQ and ES might recover as hedges are removed, with end-of-day performance being crucial.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped 0.35% on July 12, reaching its lowest level in over a month.
Bitcoin Order Book and Market Health
Skew described the order book on Binance, the largest global exchange, as “pretty healthy.” He noted that although the order books leaned towards buying, it was important to see this translate into actual market activity.
Higher BTC Price Daily Close Needed
Other analysts demanded a stronger BTC/USD to consider a long-term recovery. Popular trader Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin needed to close above $58,350 daily to break the Lower High and aim for $60,600. He shared an explanatory chart showing Bitcoin challenging the Lower High resistance again.
German Government’s Bitcoin Holdings and Market Impact
Bitcoin’s price could be on track for a reaccumulation phase as the German government is out of Bitcoin to sell. According to Arkham Intelligence, as of July 12, 2024, the German Government (BKA) held no more Bitcoin. They had transferred their Bitcoin to major exchanges like Coinbase, Kraken, and Bitstamp, as well as to trading firms like Flow Traders and a wallet linked to B2C2 Group.
On July 12 at 15:02 UTC+8, the government continued its transfer activity, moving 1,200 BTC equally among Bitstamp, Kraken, and Coinbase (400 BTC each). They also transferred 1,000 BTC to an address suspected to belong to B2C2 Group and 500 BTC to an unmarked address. Interestingly, in two separate transfers early on Friday morning, 4,169 BTC were received back from Coinbase, Kraken, and Bitstamp, possibly due to a failed sell transaction.
These movements reduced the German Government’s Bitcoin holdings significantly from 9,094 BTC. A research note by 10x Research on Friday stated that the selling pressure from the German government is easing and Bitcoin appears technically oversold. ETFs are buying the dip, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates soon, which could provide the liquidity support anticipated by many.
“If the Fed cuts rates solely due to inflation concerns in September 2024, it could be short-term bullish for Bitcoin. However, if growth concerns drive the cut, either in September or later, Bitcoin might face significant selling pressure,” the report stated.
MicroStrategy’s 10-for-1 Stock Split
MicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, announced a 10-for-1 stock split. The shares rose about 6% but are still 34% off an all-time high of $1,999.99, reached in March. This move comes during a lull in Bitcoin’s price, which has been stuck in a tight range for four months.
MicroStrategy’s stock split will create class A and class B common stock, aiming to make the stock more accessible to investors and employees. The shares rose about 6% but are still 34% off their all-time high of $1,999.99, reached in March.
The company plans to pay a dividend on August 1, giving shareholders an additional nine shares for every one they hold. Trading on a post-split basis will begin on August 8.
MicroStrategy started as an enterprise software provider but began aggressively buying Bitcoin in 2020. It has mainly traded as a proxy for Bitcoin’s price since then. This February, the company announced it would focus more on Bitcoin development.
Bernstein recently said that MicroStrategy is “building the world’s largest Bitcoin company” and has about 80% upside. MicroStrategy’s stock is up 106% this year compared to Bitcoin’s 38% gain, and 216% in the past 12 months compared to Bitcoin’s 91% advance.This article provides a comprehensive look at the recent developments in Bitcoin’s price and market trends. The German government’s Bitcoin sales and the latest US PPI inflation data have impacted the market. As Bitcoin navigates these events, it remains crucial to watch key price levels and market reactions.
