\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 60,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ud798\ub4e0 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0 \uacf5\ud3ec \ubc0f \ud0d0\uc695 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc9c0\ub09c 3\uc8fc\uac04 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc778 37\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \ub192\uc740 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ubc29\uc544\uc1e0\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ub178\ub3d9\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 2024\ub144 7\uc6d4\uc5d0 114,000\uac1c\uc758 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac\ub9cc\uc744 \ucd94\uac00\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ucd94\uc0b0\uce58\uc778 175,000\uac1c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\ub3c4 4.3%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 2021\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 5.25%~5.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ud6c4 \ud2b9\ud788 \ub354\uc6b1\ub354 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uac1c\uc120\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc57d\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uce68\uccb4\ub294 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucd09\uc9c4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uce68\uccb4\uc640 \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ubb3c\uacb0\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\uc5b4\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc6b0 \uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uacfc S&P 500\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ucd08 \uc57d 70,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uadfc\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 62,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0 \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub0b4\ub0b4 \uacc4\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. TradingView\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc57d 60,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c, \uc8fc\ub9d0 \ub3d9\uc548 11% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4. Alternative.me\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0 \uacf5\ud3ec \ubc0f \ud0d0\uc695 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 37\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, 3\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c “\ud0d0\uc695”\uc5d0\uc11c “\uacf5\ud3ec”\ub85c \ubcc0\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc815\uc11c\uc640 \uac10\uc815\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\uba70, \ub0ae\uc740 \uc810\uc218\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc774 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uac83\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uc2dc\uac00\ucd1d\uc561 \ub300 \uc2e4\ud604\uac00\uce58(MVRV) \ube44\uc728\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \uc554\uc2dc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. MVRV \ube44\uc728\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc190\uc775\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc74c\uc218 5.5%\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc740 \uac00\uaca9 \ub7a0\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc55e\uc11c \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 MVRV\uac00 \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 7\uc6d4 4\uc77c\uacfc 25\uc77c\uc5d0 \uac01\uac01 7%\uc640 9% \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0 \ubd84\uc11d \uae30\uc5c5\uc778 Santiment\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 1\uc8fc\uac04\uc758 \uc800\uc870\ud55c \uc2e4\uc801 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uaca9 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc138\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0, \uce74\ub974\ub2e4\ub178, \ub9ac\ud50c, \ub3c4\uc9c0\ucf54\uc778, \uccb4\uc778\ub9c1\ud06c\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0\ub3c4 MVRV \ube44\uc728\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc2e4\uc801\uc774 \ubbf8\ub798 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc9c0\ub9cc, Santiment\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uacfc \uc77c\ubd80 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc54c\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc5d0 \uad6c\uc81c \ub7a0\ub9ac\uac00 \ub2e4\uac00\uc624\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ucd5c\uadfc \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc218\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae09\ub4f1\uacfc \uae09\ub77d\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\ub418\ub294 \ub4f1 \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc654\ub2e4. \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\uba74 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc131\uacfc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud1b5\ucc30\ub825\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 2021\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0 \uc57d 30,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8 \ud574 \ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uace0\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uacaa\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5 \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\ub3c4 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0 \uacf5\ud3ec \ubc0f \ud0d0\uc695 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2ec\ub9ac\ub97c \ud30c\uc545\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uce58\ub294 0~100 \ubc94\uc704\ub85c, \ub0ae\uc740 \uc810\uc218\ub294 \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc744, \ub192\uc740 \uc810\uc218\ub294 \ud0d0\uc695\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc\uc5d0 \ubaa9\uaca9\ub41c \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc 37\uc810\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ub450\ub824\uc6cc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubaa8\uba58\ud140, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9, \uc18c\uc15c \ubbf8\ub514\uc5b4 \ub3d9\ud5a5\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c, \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960, \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4. \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc57d\ud654\ub420 \uc870\uc9d0\uc774 \ubcf4\uc774\uba74, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c, \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c \ub274\uc2a4\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \uc790\uc2e0\uac10\uc744 \ubd81\ub3cb\uc544 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778, \uacbd\uae30 \uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824 \uc18d 60,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud1a0\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 60,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc77c\uc790\ub9ac \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ud798\ub4e0…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1662,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1661","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1661","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1661"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1661\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1663,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1661\/revisions\/1663"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1662"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1661"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1661"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bitcoinnewscrypto.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1661"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}